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To: d:oug who wrote (2430)1/6/2003 11:21:18 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 5423
 
I articulate my gold-dollar position rather thoroughly
occasionally I am brief and doomlike in my phrasing
so be it
my "25 Reasons Why Gold Will Rise" articulates my points
let them read the article, then debate

321gold.com
(see end of this post for my 25 reasons listed again)

over the last 8 months, I have detailed the Vicious Circle Dollar Decline about 30 times
I am not reticent, shy, or brief in my discussion
you picked up a few short messages, and seem to extrapolate
I could cite you several dozen lengthy messages on other threads of SI where I detail exactly the forces at work which will unravel the world monetary system
most people regard it as unlikely since it is so horrible
they usually offer zero reasons why it wont happen
they typically rely on USGovt leaders to prevent it
but it was the same leaders (or clones) who caused it !!!

that world monetary system is dollar-based
the dollar is backed by shit in gold, but $6400 billion debt
45% of foreigners hold our Trez debt
5.5% of our GDP is hemorrhaged via trade debt
76% of foreign Central Banks have insanely based their entire economy's debt portfolios on a debt instrument reserve
76% of the USGDP is devoted to debt service (coincidence)
US household debt is 108% of household income
Islamics are turning away from US financial markets
China is building a Central Bank gold reserve

the Dollar Decline Vicious Circle is merely the flipside of what Clinton-Rubin annually boasted, with the Virtuous Cycle
night follows day
rain follows sun
recession follows expansion
depression follows speculative insanity
Clinton-Rubin's virtuous cycle was accepted with glee
but the vicious decline circle is doubted as scare tactics
the serfs and vassals must get a grip on reality !!!

let the people you cite go back and read my past writings
I will occasionally summarize and detail those points again
the burden is not on me
/ jim

OUTLINE OF 25 REASONS

1. real rate of interest has been near zero since Oct2001
2. rise in foreign holdings of US assets increases our vulnerability to foreign abandonment
3. money supply increased over 40% since Jan 2001, close to 100% rise since 1991
4. return to federal deficits from recession and wartime economy, security spending
5. rising world tension, desire for safer safe haven, the geopolitical threat to peace
6. Glass-Steagal Law repeal now heightens risk of financial cluster failure in progress
7. world perception of American institutionalized dishonesty
8. likelihood of systemic banking shock waves from debt collapse and derivative chain reaction
9. reduction of USDollar usage as both store of value, banking reserve asset
10. sharp increase of savings across Asia in the form of gold
11. Islamic world is planning gold-centric international commerce, distancing from USDollar
12. Bank for International Settlements has targeted the US dollar for a corrective decline
13. reversal of miner hedges, end of gold leasing, reducing supply
14. dismantled mining supply apparatus, from systemic price below production
15. paradox: high gold price leads to higher demand, and high price leads to lower supply
16. trade tariff resumption discourages global trading village concept
17. USDollar correction to relieve the trade imbalance could result in a currency crisis
18. accelerating worldwide currency turbulence
19. European currencies offer more attractive alternatives to USDollar, with Swiss Franc leading
20. the calendar date Sept 11th marked the turning point for USDollar in two critical years
21. rising costs from entire energy complex (crude oil, natural gas, heating oil, gasoline)
22. commodity trend reversal has begun, the beginning of a new longterm trend
23. Kondratieff Winter is gathering speed and force
24. divergence toward deflationary credit-based economy, inflationary cash-based economy
25. the parallel between gold’s rise in the 1970’s and 2000’s has many components