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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TobagoJack who wrote (27016)1/7/2003 11:18:11 AM
From: smolejv@gmx.net  Respond to of 74559
 
Hello Jay:

Here's two straightforward answers to your mail:

a) What, if anything, will you do ... in particular, how will you play the 'dividend tax cut'? I think... I know I mean a "Yes" but it's all wrong, that is I think I disagree ...I'll play it short in C# (Strawberry Fields forever)

b) How do you intend to vote your wealth ballot on the deficit spending program that aims to prop up the stock market ala Japanese style, but in the US? I am just a little lamb, who wandered off the hard-trodden roads, reserved for mass meat transport, so God should not even notice the deficit spending program is not about to change my manners.

RegZ

dj

(*)



To: TobagoJack who wrote (27016)1/7/2003 12:29:14 PM
From: Ilaine  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
>>In particular, how will you play the 'dividend tax cut'?<<

Two macro things will happen, one short term, one long term.

Short term, investors will flock to companies which pay dividends. Expect share prices (of companies paying dividends) to go up.

Long term, companies will start paying dividends rather than retaining earnings. This will have a lot of interesting side effects -- less of an incentive to give the CEO a gold plated trash can, which is a Good Thing; less of an incentive to invest in R&D, which may be a Good Thing and may be a Bad Thing. I would expect CEO salaries and perks to go down, as well as R&D and capital investments.

Oh, and less incentive to massage earnings so that there is "growth".

One nice thing about dividends - you can't fake them.

Which may lead to the unintended(?) consequence that old companies that pay dividends will be more popular than new companies that don't. No more insane valuations? No more dot com bombs?



To: TobagoJack who wrote (27016)1/7/2003 11:28:44 PM
From: TobagoJack  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 74559
 
Jay, Are you guys out of your collective minds - 74 messages since I last checked in!?

Chugs, Jay