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To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (2462)1/7/2003 10:21:00 PM
From: ubetcha  Respond to of 5423
 
Jim Willie CB,
Why it was up over 1/2 today. It must be coming back. Why the big comeback will parallel the new irrational exuberance that will occur in the stock market in honor of Alan G>. A birdie told me so!
With all the money pouring into the economy the $ will go the way of all excess and be looked at as paultry. Some sucker will still want more.
Terry



To: Jim Willie CB who wrote (2462)1/8/2003 2:02:11 AM
From: d:oug  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5423
 
The next to last person you want to agree with you is me,
but in my limited scope, i do :o) Hard for me to accept
the fact that the masses have not lined up to accept you
as both a voice to warn about the danger, but also to ask you
what steps can be taken to limit the destruction of acquired
wealth, be it fiat savings or property or other hard assets.
.
A view i see in the time frame of 2003 - 2004 when those items
you have detailed start to become facts with enough magnitude
that the mainstream news will cease the current babble and have
no choice but to report hard economic times have arrived in force,
and i'll use your mention of the car industry as example as that
which will ripple massive jobs loses once too much over debt
folks stop buying new cars. To me the first red flag will turn up
as the unemployment figure increases and feeds on itself as you
have described, being folks with no paycheck don't spend money,
causing stores unrelated to their lost job industry to be hurt.
.
At this point the worth of the US Dollar to USA citizens relative
to foreign goods may not be a concern no matter the exchange rate
if the usa folks simply stop their buying except for what necessary,
as food, shelter and reduced energy consumption.
.
If the just mentioned becomes reality, then i'm guessing that
debt will be ignored by most except for those that will lose
certain objects attached to them like cars and homes.
.
With less buying at Wal-Mart, the Chinese goods will not be needed
as now in great quanity, but enough demand will overpower the
fact you mentioned that the USA manufacturing structure was moved
overseas for cheap labor costs, so what companies currently now
in production in the US might be good investments now before
they get into a better supply-demand mode and raise prices.
.
Also, might Canada and Mexico become the next cheap labor force
for goods needed by the big usa population if the US Dollar's decline
is less felt their than overseas like China that seems to acquiring
physical gold ?

doug