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To: IRWIN JAMES FRANKEL who wrote (7673)	1/7/2003 8:03:37 PM
From: The Dodgy Ticker	Respond to of 52153

(OT) Backgammon Backgammon is great, but it will never match Acey-Deucey!

To: IRWIN JAMES FRANKEL who wrote (7673)	1/7/2003 10:32:47 PM
From: Londo	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 52153

(OT) Yet more Backgammon I love the game as well. However, good players know they have to make the offer when the advantage gained is small enough that there is some chance it will be acepted. (about the doubling cube). Mathematically, it's all about expected value: If your opponent has two men left on his 2-point, and you're left with a single guy on your home row, if he doubles, do you take? Most people in that situation would decline (since they have a 25/36 chance of losing), but mathematically, you're playing on a $$/point basis, you're better off taking the cube. Trading kind of works the same way: doing what feels bad gives typically gives you a better expected value. Unfortunately, you can't calculate it as easily as you can in backgammon end-game positions.. but the middle part of the game is where most people make and break it.