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Strategies & Market Trends : Classic TA Workplace -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: The Freep who wrote (62957)	1/7/2003 7:00:28 PM
From: NOW	Respond to of 209892

most time's the VXN has reached this range it has been a good time to sell,no? stockcharts.com

To: The Freep who wrote (62957)	1/7/2003 7:17:44 PM
From: At_The_Ask	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 209892

Excellent....now you can add your mom's to mine and Shacks "contrarian mom" indicator...bg... If it weren't for the actual chart patterns that I see in the weekly I'd be inclined to think this year would be up. All the TA guru's are predicting death and destruction. I think we go down the first part of the year and then start to rally by year end, maybe even end positively. I don't think we hit the ultra bear figures like dow 3k and comp 300. Maybe the bottom this year is the end of A and then we get a year or two of b before finally washing out. The alternate, as always, is the much anticipated 3 of 3 down that all the bears have been longing for.

To: The Freep who wrote (62957)	1/7/2003 7:19:38 PM
From: ajtj99	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 209892

I've had our employees in money market for all but 2-days since Nov. 2001. We've missed some rallies, but I can't bear the thought of throwing them in with the degree of risk we have at the lows or with the degree of risk there is once the low is confirmed and upside is limited. I haven't heard anyone complain about missing the 35% drop in the S&P and their 15% gains during the last 2-years using this fairly conservative approach. I'm actually personally liable for this also by doing it this way for our employees, but I don't give it one thought. $100,000 invested 2-years ago is now with $115,000 instead of $65,000. That's a pretty substantial difference considering our limited fund selections. It's easy to lose 35%. It's really hard to make 50% and break even again going long in a bear market with mutual funds.