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To: Softechie who wrote (4640)1/8/2003 4:39:52 PM
From: Softechie  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29600
 
CAPITAL VIEWS: Don't Count Your Tax-Free Dividends Yet

08 Jan 10:35


By John Connor
A Dow Jones Newswires Column

WASHINGTON (Dow Jones)--The question now is: How will President George W.

Bush's tax cut plan fare on Capitol Hill?
The House probably could ram it through on a straight party line vote, but
the Senate is a different story.

The Republicans control the Senate by the narrowest of margins, and Sen. John
McCain, R-Ariz., already is off the team. Others of the McCain persuasion no
doubt can be found among the shrinking ranks of Republican moderates,
particularly folks from the Northeast such as Sen. Lincoln Chafee, R-R.I.

The Bushies probably can lasso a Democrat or two, say, someone like Zell
Miller, D-Ga. But Sen. John Breaux, D-La., who helped Bush on cutting taxes in
2001, isn't going to be playing along this year.

Senate Republicans will be to try to do a tax package under so-called
reconciliation budget rules that allow them to avoid having to win
supermajority votes. But even if that works, they'll still need 51 votes, and
those votes aren't there right now.

Senate Finance Committee Chairman Charley Grassley, R-Iowa, by definition a
key player in the impending Congressional tax deliberations, had this lukewarm
endorsement: "So far, I'm more impressed with the President's plan than with
the House Democrats' plan."
The centerpiece of the Bush package, exempting dividends from individual
income taxes, will generate significant in-the-trenches opposition from diverse
quarters, ranging from high techies to the National Organization of Women to
good-government, anti-deficit types, among many others.

NOW? Yes. In denouncing the Bush plan, the group said, "Women and children
will be the first to suffer as this fiscal irresponsibility drives our nation
deeper and deeper into debt."
Among those unhappy with the Bush plan is the National Governors Association,
which said the proposed tax exemption for dividends would likely reduce state
revenues by an additional $4 billion per year and thus exacerbate the current
severe fiscal stress on state governments across the nation.

The governors didn't get into the other matter of tax-free dividends
competing with their tax-free bonds, but they will.

The National League of Cities was faster off the mark on the muni issue,
grousing that "eliminating taxes on dividends would reduce the preference of
municipal bonds, which cities rely on."
There's much more to come. The New Year is only one week old.


Subscribers can find Capital Views on:
Telerate page [4021]
Dow Jones Newswires by searching the code N/POV
Bloomberg by entering NI POV
Reuters by entering keyword Capital Views

(John Connor, a veteran observer of the financial markets and the Washington
scene, is Washington bureau chief for Dow Jones Newswires. He can be reached by
E-Mail at John.Connor@DowJones.Com)

(END) Dow Jones Newswires
01-08-03 1035ET