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Strategies & Market Trends : TATRADER GIZZARD STUDY--Stocks 12.00 or Less..... -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Findit who wrote (34444)1/10/2003 9:58:05 PM
From: NW_Trader  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 59879
 
Hi Jim,

Good to see you here -- wasn't it with TRIB (nee' TRIBY) that I used to converse with you? Still following that Irish sitter?

HLIT -- don't know of any news, but then I'm not trading it just now and don't generally chase news plays. The telcom sector generally has been trying to get up off the floor (or is it out of the basement??) since the start of the year. STMI, ALA, ADCT, GLW, PWAV, BRCD, JNPR, CIEN, and a host of last year minted penny stocks, have significant gains. Probably just another manifestation of the January effect and some money guessing that it can't go down much more (wait didn't they say that about Global Crossing?).

Still you did a good trade if you got in early, and we'll see what develops next week; don't know if you'll see 2.5 though, or if you do whether you'll want the trade. Here's my take: when viewed on a weekly chart (even better a log weekly), HLIT started off looking like like what Bulkowski calls an Adam and Eve double bottom - See Trading Classic Chart Patterns for discussion of all 4 double bottom formations -- and the past 3 issues of TASC have covered all except the Adam and Eve which should be in the Feb issue. However HLIT failed to take out the confirmation level at the end of Nov and traded back down to a 50% retracement. Thus the bottom TL that has been set up since early Oct (on daily chart) is now at 2.5 and next week will be above that level, which otherwise would be a good area for support but taking out that TL may not make for a good trade. A retrace early in the week to about 2.6 would satisfy most fib levels and not violate the TL, but if the markets continue excited I'd look for it to continue up Monday - note the volume pattern building support. It's at overhead resistance for the third time (3 test rule of Master Zeev) and could break on thru towards 5 (a brief pause there).

Currently I'm staying away from the under 5 stuff -- tho I may do some studies this weekend to convince myself that I can buy a few in the 2 to 5 range. If we get a gap Mon, this could be one, as the long term pattern is nice. My only reservation is volume -- even when I played this in the 8 to 14 rectangle of 01 - 02, the lower (relative) volume worried me.

Today was a 2B4B (2 bits, 4 bits) sort of day. All day trades went for one to two quarters, though I did flip ADIC a couple times for a net buck plus and still took some home. Someone hit my high (or so I thought) ask for part of my LWIN for 7.10 - so that plus CTXS and GNSS were the buck + trades for the week. Still holding MLNM and entered SCUR @ 6.5 (this was a Cooper Lizard yesterday, but I'm playing it as a short swing rather than day trade.) ESST was the scratch of the day -- gave back a lot more than I should have.

Have a great weekend everyone.

Peace and Justice --- Patrick