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To: mishedlo who wrote (89)1/11/2003 3:11:53 AM
From: Petrol  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1210
 
Mish, I read every word. Thank you for taking the time to write that and explain your thoughts so clearly.

I wish I had some cogent thoughts to add... I'm sure other's will.

Once again, thanks.



To: mishedlo who wrote (89)1/11/2003 7:58:34 AM
From: crdesign  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1210
 
Go Long Silver!
Barrons's just published a column essentially saying sliver will go nowhere. (Comodities Corner)

They are the greatest contrarian indicator in the market.

Can you name one stock that has gone up as a result of a 'Barron' positive review?

I can't seem to recall.

They always do manage to apologize 6-10 months down the road in their "look-back at how their doing" column in the front few pages; 'Opps. sorry gang we got that on wrong too.' ;0)

Alan A. and the 'Readers Mailbag' is the only ink worth printing & reading in that rag.

Tim



To: mishedlo who wrote (89)1/12/2003 9:14:03 PM
From: Mike M2  Respond to of 1210
 
M, see Ian Gordon & K- wave interview miningstocks.com Puplava - financial sense also had an Ian Gordon interview . financialsense.com mike



To: mishedlo who wrote (89)1/12/2003 10:04:41 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 1210
 
Ben Strong makes great points

I believe the chances of REFLATION succeeding in melting away debts to be about 10-15%

- last I checked, debts dont dissapear... instead, the debts must be reduced in size by means of the inflation so as to make them now seem and actually be manageable... I dont think 107% of household income is small now, nor will be after a couple years of inflation

I believe the chances of REFLATION succeeding in creating new jobs (or stemming job losses) to be about 10-15%

- as debt liquidation continues, and as corporate profitability is defended further, jobs will be shed on a regular basis... this is simply unavoidable during the balance sheet cleansing at both the corporate side and household side... and we aint even talked about cleansing the federal balance sheet (instead, it is about to radically worsen)

I believe the chances of REFLATION succeeding in stemming job losses to be about 30-40%

- the monetization process has the potential to arrest the job losses, as it pumps money left & right into Treasurys and CorpBonds and Stocks... but as the Austrians warn, acceleration of money supply is likely just to keep stable... my guess is that the Feds will VASTLY underestimate how much monetary expansion is necessary, and will be VERY LATE to react

but he stresses the major risks involved as the commodity prices continue to rise, the dollar falls, and the stock market heads down further

I believe the chances of REFLATION succeeding in encouraging economic recovery to be about 20-25%

- utter stagnation will be very difficult to avoid, as investors lose patience, job layoffs lead to reduced consumer spending, as the car & housing sectors lead in job shedding... both high debt levels and job losses will be critical factors here

NOT GOOD CHANCES

/ jim



To: mishedlo who wrote (89)1/13/2003 9:29:32 AM
From: Mike M2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 1210
 
Dr. Richebacher's rebuttal to the monetarists. gold-eagle.com to put the numbers in perspective GDP in 1929 was $104 billion. mike