To: Oak Tree who wrote (65715 ) 1/12/2003 11:04:05 PM From: Maurice Winn Respond to of 281500 <Mankind is still mankind. There is not magic change. > Well, there is certainly no magic. But mankind is not still mankind. There are major quantitative and qualitative shifts which have already happened and the changes are now irrevocable - they are not guesses about the future. Since you disagree, perhaps you could explain what you think the consequences of 1 child per woman around the world will be [with some having none and some having 4]. Then, add in the other changes which are already in the bank, such as cyberspace, global trade, intangible goods and services in place of the industrial revolution and agriculture as the major economic factors. Add all the other changes [no smallpox, age-uniform demographics instead of swarms of young people and few older ones, and so on and so on]. You think that all adds up to more of the same old 18th century way of life? 19th? 20th? While you say things don't change in the crazy people getting power department, the facts show you are wrong. The world has never in biological history been at such peace as it is today. A single soldier's death is actually a news story these days. The number of wars is near zero. In the world's newsworthy hotspot, Israel, the deaths are trivial per year. A few suicide bombings, some Palestinian stone throwers. Never has it been like this. It's not going back either, although some movie makers like to fantasize about such ideas. Life isn't actually a movie, contrary to what a lot of people seem to think. Hollywood is making entertainment and money, not documentaries. The first thing to do is free ourselves from anachronistic beliefs and thinking. The next is to use imagination and think what might be, not what has been. Mqurice.