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To: Edscharp who wrote (55)1/13/2003 5:59:52 PM
From: LAWRENCE C.  Respond to of 82
 
These charts are based on the category of a vote.

Most analysts had a bias against SELL recommendations.
The accuracy of analysts forecasts for stocks varies considerably too. Honest analysts have biases in their models and in choosing the numbers they put into their models. Analysts in turn are influenced by information from covered companies and companies that affect them. Dishonest analysts probably have or at least had a positive bias too.

I find stockconsultants.com to be a helpful tool for 1-6 week stock movements for both potential long and short price targets. It feeds new data into its model calculations. It gives price targets which give me a better idea of realistic price targets. It suggests stop and cover prices. It gives support and resistance bands. It gives profit/loss ratios. It gives potential of reaching a target as: EXCELLENT, GOOD, FAIR or POOR.

I agree that most of the people participating in this vote survey would already be owners of the company and some would be short the company. All would have some bias.

Wall Street tends to take a short quarterly view which doesn't help the CEOs of companies either.

Most mutual funds haven't been doing well in the bear market either.

Most investors are probably overconcentrated in the stock asset class.

Message boards do allow for an exchange of ideas.

Yes, the timing of most investors is horrid.