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Pastimes : A Jackass, his PAL(indrome), and GOLD -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SOROS who wrote (130)1/14/2003 10:32:25 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 1210
 
it doesnt bother me that JPM hasnt cratered with POG > 350

I believe JPM and the cartel have geared their risk program to 360 as the new line in the sand
when it is broken, they will do the same at 380
if they successfully avoid the big bang, then we win something far more valuable
A VERY LONG RUNUP WITH NO EXTREME VOLATILITY
that means no big rollbacks to hurt us
just steady eddy upward course
I love that

however, their New Adusted Risk Control Program wont work indefinitely
sooner or later, damage will be done to their balance sheets
we wont see an explosion in gold, but rather serious longterm debt issues raised for JPM which might combine with improperly booked SoAmerican debt or WCom debt or whatever, dunno

THE ADJUSTMENTS WILL NOT GO WITHOUT DIRE CONSEQUENCE
they will be acidic and slow, rather than explosive and rapid

imagine you have a $180k MasterCard debt
your issuer allows you to extend it to $200k
then $220k
that doesnt fix anything
you eventually have trouble with other debts
you start to have deep challenges in daily operations
it all catches up in our financial system

make sense, Pops?
just guesses, mind you
we also dont have the participation by USGovt officials in offloading some of JPM's debts and hedgebooks
all for the greater good (of those involved)
/ jim



To: SOROS who wrote (130)1/14/2003 10:45:49 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 1210
 
it doesnt bother me that JPM hasnt cratered with POG > 350

I believe JPM and the cartel have geared their risk program to 360 as the new line in the sand
when it is broken, they will do the same at 380
if they successfully avoid the big bang, then we win something far more valuable
A VERY LONG RUNUP WITH NO EXTREME VOLATILITY
that means no big rollbacks to hurt us
just steady eddy upward course
I love that

however, their New Adusted Risk Control Program wont work indefinitely
sooner or later, damage will be done to their balance sheets
we wont see an explosion in gold, but rather serious longterm debt issues raised for JPM which might combine with improperly booked SoAmerican debt or WCom debt or whatever, dunno

THE ADJUSTMENTS WILL NOT GO WITHOUT DIRE CONSEQUENCE
they will be acidic and slow, rather than explosive and rapid

imagine you have a $180k MasterCard debt
your issuer allows you to extend it to $200k
then $220k
that doesnt fix anything
you eventually have trouble with other debts
you start to have deep challenges in daily operations
it all catches up in our financial system

make sense, Pops?
just guesses, mind you
we also might have the participation by USGovt officials in offloading some of JPM's debts and hedgebooks
all for the greater good (of those involved)
/ jim



To: SOROS who wrote (130)1/16/2003 5:14:46 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 1210
 
pleaz dont suspend me from this thread for telling jokes /jw