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Biotech / Medical : Biotech Valuation -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Harold Engstrom who wrote (7745)1/16/2003 4:22:21 PM
From: Jacob Snyder  Respond to of 52153
 
Well, yes, the stock price won't go up if you grow earnings but not EPS. I've crossed off many SiliconTech companies from my buylist (except as shorts), because the locked-in dilution from outstanding employee options, and their habit of paying for ongoing costs with stock, is going to put a hard ceiling on the stock price, no matter what happens to the company's earnings. Cisco, for example. Biotechs have this problem, too.



To: Harold Engstrom who wrote (7745)1/16/2003 7:59:16 PM
From: Biomaven  Respond to of 52153
 
Are those earnings per share

Yes they are. The number of shares out in the first tier companies has not grown dramatically. (AMGN is an exception because of their recent merger.) In fact AMGN has mostly repurchased more shares than have been issued in options.

In general M&A has not been the source of the earnings growth in the past, nor is it the basis for the forecast earnings growth.

Dilution from options only happens when the stock price increases. Sure there will be some of that - but I for one am happy to share the price increase with employees.

Peter