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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: JohnM who wrote (66539)1/17/2003 12:10:18 PM
From: Win Smith  Respond to of 281500
 
Anxiety Bubbles Beneath Support For War With Iraq washingtonpost.com

My recollection from the impeachment days is that polls mean what you want them to mean, like everything else. This little bit from a couple days back struck me.

More than six out of 10 of those polled favored using force against Iraq. The numbers are familiar. Since November 2001, the percentage of those supporting an attack against Iraq has typically hovered between the low 60s and high 70s, dipping below 60 percent -- to 56 percent -- just once in 11 polls.

But the poll taken last month also suggests that support for using force against Iraq is highly conditional. Support dips to 42 percent when respondents were asked whether they would favor an attack that involve ground troops and to 30 percent if the attack would result in significant casualties.


If support drops from 60's to 40's if ground troops are factored in, does that mean that 20 % are expecting another Kosovo campaign or something?



To: JohnM who wrote (66539)1/17/2003 2:17:56 PM
From: Nadine Carroll  Respond to of 281500
 
I wouldn't pin much of an argument on poll numbers just yet. It's a little like taking election polls seriously when elections are well distant

I don't; but the lede of the paragraph did, and then cited numbers which did not support the assertion.