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Technology Stocks : Applied Materials No-Politics Thread (AMAT) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jack Hartmann who wrote (4999)1/17/2003 11:48:35 AM
From: Jack Hartmann  Respond to of 25522
 
BoA on INTC and capex

Mark F. FitzGerald

Intel Lowers Cap-ex – Again

* Banc of America Securities LLC currently maintains a market in this security and otherwise purchases and sells securities of this company as principal.: AMAT, NVLS, KLAC, INTC.

* Intel (INTC, $17.95, Neutral, covered by Doug Lee) announced during yesterday's conference call that they are planning to spend between $3.5 and $3.9 billion on cap-ex for 2003. This is down 21% from the $4.7 billion Intel spent in 2002 and down 49% from $7.1 billion they spent in 2001.

* In 2002, Intel spent 50% of its cap-ex on manufacturing equipment. Intel expects to spend 50% of its cap-ex on manufacturing equipment in 2003 as well. This is a source of additional disappointment for semiconductor equipment companies, as there has been anticipation recently that Intel would increase spending on equipment relative to overall cap-ex this year.

* The cuts suggest that Intel expects to spend $1.75 to $1.95 billion on equipment in 2003, about $400 to $600 million less than it did in 2002.

* Intel intends to focus 90% of its cap-ex on 300mm, 90nm technologies. This means that semiconductor equipment companies with strong portfolio of leading edge products, such as Applied Materials (AMAT $15.36, Buy), Novellus (NVLS $33.45, Buy) and KLA-Tencor (KLAC $39.65, Buy) will mainly benefit from Intel's spending plans.

* The timeline for Intel's 300mm Fab 11x and Fab 24 remains unchanged and none of the semiconductor equipment companies are seeing “pull-ins” of orders for Intel's Fab 24.

* Intel's cap-ex as a percentage of projected revenues for 2003 is at 14% (compared to 18% in 2002 and 27.5% in 2001). It is expected that spending at Intel will stall at current levels for coming year. Intel now accounts for ~17% of the global spending on semiconductor equipment.

cnet.com

Jack



To: Jack Hartmann who wrote (4999)1/17/2003 12:33:04 PM
From: Robert Douglas  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25522
 
firm also believes there is a possibility that the co will close for a week in March as well, and continues to think the stock will retest its Sept lows.

I sincerely hope that the company didn't make a short-term prediction of their stock price. For starters, it would be irresponsible for them to do so and secondly, why is everyone so obsessed with the next 6 months?