To: Fangorn who wrote (553 ) 1/21/2003 4:52:22 AM From: Solon Read Replies (1) | Respond to "1/3 of this rate comes from non DP states "1/2 of remaining rate (3.3) is unaffected (crimes of passion, insanity, negligent homicide {i.e. drunk driving, reckless driving, etc.} "That leaves 3.3 or 3.4 homicides left that are deterrable by DP" "Suppose 10% of potential premeditated murderers are deterred by the DP ""But this is what one might expect given the small increase in deterrence the DP adds (if my thought experiment has any validity ""Any idea that the DP causes the difference in rate between the two groups is a stretch at best. ""It remains certain that if the DP does deter even one potential murderer, a virtual certainty IMO, to forgo the DP is to sacrifice the innocent victim of that murderer ""I did not backpedal "And 1/3 of a homicide rate would not come from non DP States. You have already been told that DP States have almost double the homicide rate as non DP States. POPULATION of the DP versus non DP was the only thing that counted. Yeah...Alaska and New York on a one to one contribution ratio! Christ, you are a piece of work!
