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To: mishedlo who wrote (283)	1/20/2003 2:07:09 PM
From: yard_man	Respond to of 1210

Mish -- a good portion of those "consumption" $s flowing OUT of the US come back IN as "USD investments." That will slow or -- perish the thought, even reverse ... The point is -- folks abroad are NOT on a consumption binge now. They are simply buying what they "need." We've got MUCH further to retrench and that will be the driver of the future trade deficits, IMO. A shrinking trade deficit will NOT be good for our economy or theirs. I don't think the trade deficit will improve because exports will grow -- I only think that imports will slow much faster than exports.