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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: KLP who wrote (67333)	1/21/2003 4:52:13 AM
From: LindyBill	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

posting the article You are welcome. I was setting here thinking about writing and posting a "Thumbsucker" on the mood of this country right now. But, I am not sure of it. Or much else, for that matter. We are obviously on the brink of war in the ME. I am trying to figure out how it is going to play out, and getting nowhere. I assume if we go that it will be over quickly. What I really wonder is how it will be initiated. How is Bush going to start it? I missed what he was going to do at the UN last fall, and how it would play out. The rap on the Administration last August before the UN speech was that everything was going wrong. Just go back and look at the posts. Yet everything has been on cruise control since. So my guess is that the UN will either refuse to OK a strike, or that when it becomes evident that they won't vote for it, we will ignore them. Bush will have to come before the country to make a speech and start things off. If he announces a "Smoking Gun" he will have an easy time of it. If he doesn't the screams during the first week of invasion will be loud and long. OTOH, Bush could go before the UN and give them another ultimatum. And they could crack and go along with him. None of us figured this last time. In any case, my assessment of Bush is that he will not put his political finger to the wind to make this decision. He will go based on what he thinks, and figure he can pull the country along with him afterward. The next couple of months are going to be very interesting. lindybill@thumbsucker.com