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Pastimes : A Jackass, his PAL(indrome), and GOLD -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: tonka552000 who wrote (332)1/22/2003 10:32:42 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Respond to of 1210
 
such a claim of goldbacked dollar ending the gold runup is lightyears beyond ludicrous

the US Money Supply (even with a 5% gold cover clause) would require a doubling of the gold reserves to fortify its collateral against the current $6.4 trillion in Trez debt
with a chronically faltering economy
with growing need for domestic safety net measures
with continued world police action and sentry duty
with never-ending insanity of pork barrel local projects
with necessary federal stimulus
FUTURE FEDERAL DEFICITS WILL NOT GO AWAY, WHICH REQUIRE CONTINUED OFFICIAL PURCHASES OF MORE GOLD FOR THE TREASURY

now add significant new reserve requirements in order to fortify ongoing federal deficits of perhaps $1 trillion in 2004 alone and at least half that in 2003

TO CLAIM NO NEW GOLD RESERVES OR NO HIGHER GOLD PRICES IS ABOUT AS LIKELY AS CLAIMING ENERGY INDEPENDENCE !!!
we will need far more gold in the treasury
that happens only with a higher price, since the private sector is aware of this (or will be) which results in competition for the increasingly scarce gold

TOTALLY LUDICROUS AND BEYOND THE ABSURD
in fact, I will go on record as saying that a gold-backed dollar will bring about a $2010 gold price before the year 2010

let that stake come out of the ground and stay there for 7 more years
the future has much in store, beginning with a race between Asia sanity and the US/Europe insanity to grab the world's gold
the winner will have an absolutely burgeoning central bank from which to distribute staggering and growing sums of capital for expanding their national economy
the USA enjoyed this benefit in the 1940-1970 period, only to forget how it happened
now the reverse will occur within the USA, as our gold is gone, having given it away at this cycle's lows
TO ASIA

as for gold and silver owners, EEEEEEHIIIIIII !!!
/ jim



To: tonka552000 who wrote (332)1/22/2003 10:50:13 AM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 1210
 
reply to JohnG on QcomBuyRange thread

dollar decline will be disastrous, since it leads in US to:
- foreign retreat from stock market
- gradually increasing longbond yield
- end to real estate bull market
- end to consumer REFI-driven binge
- deterioration of Asian bank systems (holding USTBonds)
- accelerated abandonment of US financial markets by Arabs
- erosion of US corporation earnings
- imminent return of gradual price inflation
- continued rise in commodity prices
- continued rise in energy prices
- rise in state taxes, property taxes, sales taxes
and my favorite
- California declares bankruptcy in 2004

these are all related, and all tied to a declining dollar
dont expect any material reduction in the trade gap
that proclamation by economists is as ludicrous as the perennial "2ndHalf Recovery" pipedream of bullshit
the US economy has a minimal mfg base anymore

in the spring and early summer, I said numerous times that the declining dollar would coincide with a rising trade gap, not a shrinking one as hack economists predicted
the November trade gap was considerably higher than the summer
and hack economists continue their drivel, now claiming it is working through the system
WE HAVE MINIMAL MFG BASE, A DISMANTLED AND EMPTY MECHANISM FOR RESPONDING TO A DOLLAR DECLINE

the end result in an accelerating dollar decline over time

anyone who thinks narrowly about the benefits of more favorable multi-national operation conversion with a lower dollar is missing 98% of the picture

the USDollar Decline Vicious Circle will be devastating
utterly devastating, and relentless
prepare for a chronic liquidation process here in the USA
with price inflation all across commodities, led by energy and gold
with price deflation all across the product sector, led by technology
the result will confound and confuse hack economists for years to come
since they think in aggregate terms, if they think at all

321gold.com

/ jim