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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Paul Senior who wrote (16267)1/24/2003 2:43:56 AM
From: Spekulatius  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78656
 
CVX versus MRO
MRO's last quarterly report does not look too bad. MRO stock is outperforming CVX lately. I still think CVX is a better bet in the oil sector. I also like BP. I am surprised that rising oil prices and the dividend talk fails to lift oil stocks.

I havn't followed Bayer very closely but i do notice that the stock is dirt cheap. However BAY is cheap for a reason. There is this lawsuit lingering and Cipro's patent, one of BAY biggest drug's with 2B$ revenue, is expiring soon.
In the pipeline i see only Levitra (drug for erectile dysfunction) with some potential, the rest seems to be a huge dry spell. Watching SGP's and BMY's demise i know that a pharma without a pipeline is a depleting asset. In the good old days, there was always a new pill popping up somewhere and if not another pharma bought the company. This does not happen any more.

That said, i don't think that BAY will go under, however i don't think that it's necessary that great of an investment (risk adjusted) either.