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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: tekboy who wrote (68558)1/24/2003 6:26:56 PM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Tek: When we see some REAL FACTS from the Administration...?

Bush and Co. love to use assertions about Saddam being 'a clear and present danger'...Yet, they HAVE NOT provided us with any real facts to back up their rhetoric...that is why most Americans (and U.S. Allies) feel the President has failed to make the case for going to war....Why should we spend over $100 Billion U.S. tax dollars and sacrifice precious American lives to go on an Imperialistic Military Adventure over in Iraq...? Will Bush, Cheney, Von Rumsfeld or Perle send their kids to the front lines of the battlefields...?



To: tekboy who wrote (68558)1/24/2003 6:31:59 PM
From: paul_philp  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
Interesting article. The phrase "American Anti-Europeanism" catches a certain reality well.

The author took a left turn away from credibility with this statement though:


I found that the post–September 11 sense that America is at war persists more strongly in Washington than anywhere else in America, including New York.[17] It persists, above all, in the heart of the Bush administration. The "war against terrorism" strengthened an existing tendency among the Republican elite to believe in what Robert Kaplan has called "Warrior Politics," with a strong seasoning of fundamentalist Christianity—something conspicuously absent in highly secularized Europe.


I think that he misreads the mood, which might better be characterized as split, ambivalent or mixed and then disses the idea that America could feel they are at war. With this statement, he makes the case that I think he is arguing against.

Paul



To: tekboy who wrote (68558)1/24/2003 6:57:51 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 281500
 
John Kerry Outlines Foreign Policy

Democratic Presidential Hopeful John Kerry Outlines Foreign Policy to Refocus War on Terror

The Associated Press


DES MOINES, Iowa Jan. 23 — Accusing the Bush administration of "blustering unilateralism," Democratic presidential hopeful John Kerry outlined a foreign policy that would refocus the war on terrorism and launch a trade initiative to bring the Mideast into the world market.

"We must embark on a major initiative of public diplomacy to bridge the divide between Islam and the rest of the world," the Massachusetts senator said in a prepared speech made available to The Associated Press on Wednesday. "Mr. President, do not rush to war."

The four-term senator first elected in 1984 was to deliver the speech Thursday in a high-profile address at Georgetown University in Washington, D.C.

Kerry joined in the call to disarm Iraqi President Saddam Hussein, calling him "a particularly grievous threat," but warned against a quick assault on Iraq.

"The United States should never go to war because it wants to. We should go to war because we have to," Kerry said. "But we don't have to until we have exhausted the remedies available, built legitimacy and earned the consent of the American people, absent, of course, an imminent threat requiring urgent action."

"The administration must pass this test," Kerry said. "I believe they must take the time to do the hard work of diplomacy. They must do a better job of making their case to the American people and to the world."

Administration actions to date have left the country isolated, he said. "In practice, it has meant alienating our longtime friends and allies, alarming potential foes and spreading anti-Americanism around the world," Kerry said.

"The Bush administration's blustering unilateralism is wrong and even dangerous for our country," he said.

Kerry has formed an exploratory committee to seek the Democratic presidential nomination. His backers say that as a decorated Vietnam War hero, he is the Democrat best able to counter an expected effort by President Bush to make foreign policy and the war on terror central to the 2004 campaign.

Thursday's speech is the beginning of Kerry's effort to draw distinctions with Bush. He said the president made mistakes in prosecuting the initial war on terrorism that likely allowed key terrorists like Osama bin Laden to escape.

"They relied too much on local warlords to carry the fight against our enemies and this permitted many al-Qaida members, likely including Osama bin Laden himself, to slip through our fingers," said Kerry.

Kerry urged the United States and its trans-Atlantic partners to launch a high-profile Middle East trade initiative "to stop the economic regression" in the region, saying that is key to cutting off the roots of terrorism.

The traditional U.S. peacemaking role in the Mideast must also be revived, he said.

"This administration made a grave mistake when it disregarded almost 70 years of American friendship and leadership in the Middle East," said Kerry.

And the United States must "engage thoughtfully, strategically and firmly" in the high-stakes dispute with North Korea, he said.

"But the Bush administration has offered only a merry-go-round policy they got up on their high horse, whooped and hollered, rode around in circles and ended right back where they started," said Kerry.

Copyright 2003 The Associated Press.

abcnews.go.com



To: tekboy who wrote (68558)1/25/2003 4:59:05 AM
From: frankw1900  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 281500
 
For example, European policymakers tend to think that a negotiated settlement of the Israeli? Palestinian conflict would be a bigger contribution to the long-term success of the "war against terrorism" than a war on Iraq.

Insofar as an Israel-Palestinian settlement would be a catastrophe for islamofascists, I would argue it's likely to inspire an increase in their terrorist activity. Of course, US success in leading Iraq to a modern state would also lead to extra spasms of islamist terrorist activity.

frank@deathstruggles.org



To: tekboy who wrote (68558)1/25/2003 9:19:07 AM
From: stockman_scott  Read Replies (8) | Respond to of 281500
 
The "Just Because" War

By Robert Higgs
AlterNet
January 23, 2003

In the face of worldwide opposition and growing domestic condemnation of the Bush administration's rush to war, the president has launched a new public relations offensive to convince the world abroad and the American people that nothing can stop the United States from carrying out its impending military conquest of Iraq.

In public appearances, the commander in chief has displayed ever more impatience not only with the Iraqi regime's actions but also with anyone's even questioning his war policy. Merely repeating tired declarations that Saddam has brutalized his own people and “failed to disarm,” President Bush has added nothing of substance to the administration's case for going to war. Instead, he has become petulant when asked to explain, for example, why he is so angrily intent on military action against Iraq while he is so serenely content to let diplomacy continue indefinitely to resolve the more serious threat posed by North Korea’s barbarous regime.

None of the major European countries, save Britain, wants anything to do with a U.S. war against Iraq, and even Tony Blair’s government, ordinarily subservient to U.S. wishes, recently has expressed a preference to let the inspections in Iraq continue, perhaps for months, before deciding whether to launch an invasion. The British people remain overwhelmingly opposed to the war, which must give the Labor chieftains pause as they contemplate the repercussions their present bellicosity may have on their candidates at the next election.

In the Middle East, opposition is similarly almost unanimous. Even the Turks, who normally allow themselves to be bought off fairly cheaply, are digging in their heels this time, fearful not only of the harm a war will wreak on their fragile economy but also of the Kurdish thorn in their soft southern underbelly, which a war might sharpen substantially. The Gulf sheikdoms take the U.S. money and run, of course, mindful that in view of the American armada standing offshore, they have no good alternative. The Saudis continue to urge avoidance of a war but, placed in an untenable position by U.S. diplomatic and economic pressures, they have reluctantly conceded a modicum of cooperation. Only Israel wishes the United States Godspeed in its attack on Iraq.

This pattern might well give Americans reason to rethink the Bush administration's policy. The president maintains that Iraq’s regime poses a grave, imminent threat. Yet, if so, why do the countries that confront the alleged threat at closest range display no fear of Iraqi action against them? And if Israel alone is cheering for this war, what might that fact suggest? Well might we consider whether the present U.S. war policy constitutes still another case of the American dog being wagged by the tail of its Israeli protectorate. If so, do the American people really want it?

For many months, administration officials have continued to make the same claims about Iraqi programs to produce and deploy so-called weapons of mass destruction, yet they have consistently refused to adduce clear evidence to back up their charges. Even after the U.N. inspectors returned to Iraq, the United States refused to make its intelligence data available to them. Is it really more important to preserve the details of the government’s intelligence sources than to avert war by assisting the inspectors in locating and destroying the alleged Iraqi weapons, raw materials, and production facilities? If the U.S. government truly knows that such things exist in Iraq, what is so complicated about simply telling the inspectors where to find them? Not everything at issue can be hauled away on trucks as inspectors approach. On closer consideration, one begins to suspect that in fact the U.S. government’s spooks do not have the information they claim to possess. Perhaps their knowledge consists of little more than scattered, unreliable reports and questionable inferences, held together by a glue of preconceptions. Maybe their intelligence is just as bad as U.S. intelligence about the USSR is now seen to have been during the Cold War.

In any event, the president’s recently displayed impatience and undisguised hostility ill suit a leader who, thanks to congressional abdication, holds the power of war and peace in his own hands. War is too serious a matter to be decided by someone who lacks the keen intelligence and mature judgment to understand the situation fully and to weigh the pros and cons of alternative policies wisely. George Bush is doing nothing to reassure the public that he has what it takes to be a responsible foreign policy maker.

Worse, he appears to be acting under the greatest sway of advisers – Cheney, Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz, Perle, and their ilk – who have long been obsessed with attacking Iraq no matter what Saddam might do to placate them and who manifest a megalomania for remaking the Middle East in their preferred image. Their fantasies of transforming Iraq into a liberal democracy abide light years away from any realizable reality: Iraq lacks all the ingredients for baking that cake. If Americans allow themselves to become lodged in Iraq, ruling it directly or through a puppet regime, they will soon rue the day they plunged into that oil-rich but politically hopeless quagmire. If U.S. occupiers cannot deal successfully even with the rag-tag clans and warlords of Afghanistan, they won’t stand a chance in the treacherous ethnic, religious, and political cauldron known as Iraq.

Ultimately, the most troubling aspect of the administration's present rush to war is its failure to treat the question of war and peace as the grave issue that it is. War consists of many horrors, most of them spilling onto wholly innocent parties. It ought never to be entered into lightly. Indeed, it ought always to be undertaken only after every decent alternative has been exhausted. We are far from having exhausted every good alternative. To allow more time for the inspections to proceed promises a far better ratio of benefits to costs than going straight to war.

That the United States already has positioned scores of thousands of troops near Iraq, ready to launch an attack, in no way justifies proceeding with that attack. Acting on a “use ’em or lose ’em” assumption makes no sense. Better to withdraw those forces than to commit them to a war that easily might have been avoided. The men and women in the U.S. armed forces certainly deserve to be kept out of harm’s way unless a completely compelling reason exists to place their lives at risk. Nor do the countless Iraqi civilians who will suffer in any war deserve the harms that a U.S. attack will bring them. The ordinary Iraqi citizen is not the Iraqi regime. No defensible moral calculus can justify killing those hapless people – military conscripts as well as civilians – just because the Bush administration harbors an animus toward Saddam Hussein and his lieutenants.

Despite what President Bush insists, time is on our side, not Saddam’s. We hold the upper hand in every way. It is no answer to catalog how under a host of conditions not yet realized and not likely to be realized soon, the Iraqi regime someday might seriously harm the American people here on our own territory. Justification of war requires that we face a definite, immediate, grave threat, and the administration has put forth no evidence that Iraq poses such a threat to us. In the present circumstances, then, a U.S. attack on Iraq would constitute a clear, utterly unjustified act of aggression. We ought not to tolerate a government that commits such acts in our name.

_________________________________________________________

Robert Higgs is Senior Fellow in Political Economy at The Independent Institute and editor of its scholarly quarterly journal, "The Independent Review." He is also the author of "Crisis and Leviathan: Critical Episodes in the Growth of American Government" and the editor of "Arms, Politics and the Economy: Historical and Contemporary Perspectives."

alternet.org



To: tekboy who wrote (68558)1/26/2003 2:58:23 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 281500
 
Bush Doctrine flunks test on North Korea

By Lawrence Korb and Benn Steil
Editorial
The Boston Globe
1/25/2003

NORTH KOREA'S nuclear brinkmanship has posed a formidable test for the fledgling Bush Doctrine on foreign policy, one which it has failed spectacularly. This should not have come as a surprise, since the reasoning behind it is fundamentally flawed.

The Bush Doctrine is in essence a three-legged stool, relying on the credible threat of overwhelmingly military force to constrain enemy behavior, acting unilaterally in the interests of avoiding external constraints, and doing so preemptively in anticipation of future enemy action.

While promoted by the administration as a ''realist'' doctrine for the 21st century, it is anything but. It fails to recognize the inherent limitations of force as a tool of foreign policy, of engaging an opponent unilaterally when this limits one's leverage, and of declaring an intent to preempt an opponent that is clearly capable of preempting preemption. The case of North Korea starkly reveals all of these shortcomings.

Defense Secretary Rumsfeld has assured us that preparations for an Iraq strike do not constrain America militarily on the Korean peninsula, because the US military remains capable of fighting two full-scale wars simultaneously.

Whether true or not is unimportant in this case, because the president's repeated promises not to invade North Korea have made clear our understanding that the conflict with Pyongyang is not amenable to a military solution.

Even if our armed forces were twice as powerful and effective as they are today, we would still be incapable of striking the North without risking overwhelming devastation to the South, either as a result of a retaliation by the North or radioactive fallout from an attack on the Yong-byon reactor. Thus, the application of diplomacy as opposed to military force is not a sign of weakness but of sanity.

As for the United States acting unilaterally, this is precisely what the North is after.

In painting its nuclear brinkmanship as a purely American concern, Pyongyang sets the stage to maximize US concessions. Only by building a coalition of partners whose interests in regional nonproliferation intersect with ours, and whose influence in the North leverages ours, can we hope to avoid making concessions that reward such behavior.

Finally, having announced a policy of preempting evil and then casting the North Korean leader as its epitome, President Bush gave the North every incentive to preempt our preemption.

Seen in the cold light of realpolitik, so favored by this administration, Kim Jong Il's behavior, however dangerous, has been a rational and predictable response to the president's new doctrine. In other words, it was nothing more than muddleheaded triumphalism on the part of the administration that led them to believe that swearing to preempt those whom we call evil would prompt them to cooperate with us, rather than strike us first in precisely the spot where unilateralism would leave us most vulnerable.

The Bush administration is learning the hard way that diplomacy is not merely the first refuge of scoundrels, but rather the first line of defense in a dangerous world of sovereign wills.
_________________________________________

Lawrence Korb is Senior Fellow and director of national security studies at the Council on Foreign Relations. Benn Steil is the Andre Meyer Senior Fellow and director of international economics at the council.

© Copyright 2003 Boston Globe Newspaper Company.

boston.com