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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: LindyBill who wrote (68933)	1/26/2003 2:49:59 PM
From: JohnM	Respond to of 281500

Freidman used Yugoslavia as an example of what we might run into in Iraq, but I think the example of Lebanon in '82 is probably closer to the mark. A bunch of warring tribes that spend their time fighting with each other and sucking up to, or fighting, the conqueror. Lebanon works if you conclude that neighboring countries will boil the stew. The Turks move into the northern portions of the country, the Iranians work more closely with the Shiites in the south, etc. As I read Friedman, what made the Lebanese situation so destructive was not only the local in fighting but the way it was parlayed by the neighbors.