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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: mistermj who wrote (68963)	1/26/2003 4:20:55 PM
From: JohnM	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Any chance you could offer your views on the denBeste materials? The point I disagree with him is his assumption that the Bush administration is, to some large degree, sealed off from the American public between elections. If Bush's approval numbers continue sinking, if a few things go badly either the attempt to convince the public or in the invasion itself, the feedback loops will work overtime. Even denBeste, with that bellicose leadin, assumes that. Note all the ifs. And he's exactly right about them. If we fight, and if we win, and if we win rapidly, and if the rate of American casualties is low, and if the overall casualty rate is low, and if afterwards plenty of evidence is uncovered about Iraq's WMDs and Iraqi involvement in terrorism – all of which I now think is quite likely to happen – then people will look back and see this as an example of leadership, and they'll be right.