Silicon Investor (SI) -- The First Internet Community

STOCKTALK

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor. We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community. If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.

Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Ilaine who wrote (27976)	1/27/2003 8:46:17 AM
From: Moominoid	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Seems like you don't notice how much US and European stock markets have fallen in this time period. In 1987-1991 house prices rose during the first few years period from the initial stock market crash to the bust. Then they collapsed. That's the next step in the script here. And as the 1990s boom was bigger than the 1980s one and the stock market collapse so far is much bigger, people following this script think the coming recession will be more severe. Now we are at the point where oil prices start rising. It didn't last long in 1990.... 1979-1982 is another potential model period where the main bust comes 3 years or so after the initial shock. David