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To: Kayaker who wrote (8224)1/27/2003 12:00:08 PM
From: Gottfried  Respond to of 95738
 
kayaker, the bpcompq and bpnya are still high and could drop a whole lot, meaning the indices would too. VIX since 1986 investorshub.com

Gottfried



To: Kayaker who wrote (8224)1/27/2003 12:15:01 PM
From: Return to Sender  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95738
 
I think we can all agree on the fact that the potential war with Iraq is responsible for much of the rise in the sentiment indicators. Fear of the unknown is always the worst things for the market as well as in real life. As Gottfried already indicated most of us here are well aware that the market as measured by BPNDX and other indicators could fall a great deal further. Still I think we are encouraged by the rise in negative sentiment rather than fearful of the rise in fear at this point.

This bear market has put in several bottoms with the VIX over 50 and I for one believe another one will be coming soon enough. The indicators work well here. They just have to get really extreme.

A put to call ratio over 1 still. That is extreme:

cboe.com

The TRIN now at 2.33. Not quite extreme enough but that is extreme negativity.

The VIX at 40.77! Up over 12% today. I'm looking for over 50 but we are climbing rapidly.

RtS