To: chomolungma who wrote (67438 ) 1/28/2003 6:39:26 PM From: Sam Citron Respond to of 70976 "There's an awful lot of Al Qaeda sympathy within Pakistan's nuclear program," an intelligence official told me. One American nuclear nonproliferation expert said, "Right now, the most dangerous country in the world is Pakistan. If we're incinerated next week , it'll be because of H.E.U. [highly enriched uranium] that was given to Al Qaeda by Pakistan." Pakistan's relative poverty could pose additional risks. In early January, a Web-based Pakistani-exile newspaper opposed to the Musharraf government reported that, in the past 6 years, 9 nuclear scientists had emigrated from Pakistan--apparently in search of better pay--and could not be located. An American intelligence official I spoke with called Pakistan's behavior the "worst nightmare" of the international arms-control community: a Third World country becoming an instrument of proliferation...The transfer of enrichment technology by Pakistan is a direct outgrowth of the failure of the United States to deal with the Pakistani program when we could have done so. We've lost control." ... The Administration's fitful North Korea policy, with its mixture of anger and seeming complacency, is in many ways a consequence of its unrelenting focus on Iraq. Late last year, the White House released a national security strategy paper authorizing the military "to detect and destroy an adversary's WMD assets before these weapons are used." The document argued that the armed forces "must have the capability to defend against WMD-armed adversaries... because deterrance may not succeed." Logically, the new strategy should have applied first to North Korea, whose nuclear weapons program remains far more advanced than Iraq's. The Administration's goal, however, was to mobilize public opinion for an invasion of Iraq. One American intelligence official told me, "The Bush doctrine says MAD"---mutually assured destruction--"will not work for these rogue nations, and therefore we have to preempt if negotiations don't work. And the Bush people knew that the North Koreans had already reinvigorated their programs and were more dangerous than Iraq. But they didn't tell anyone. They have bankrupted their own policy--thus far--by not doing what their doctrine calls for. Iraq's military capacity has been vitiated by its defeat in the Gulf War and years of inspections, but North Korea is one of the most militarized nations in the world, with more than forty percent of its population under arms. Its artillery is especially fearsome: more than ten thousand guns, along with twenty five hundred rocket launchers capable of firing five hundred thousand shells an hour, are positioned within range of Seoul... excerpted fromAnnals of National Security: The Cold Test What the Administration Knew About Pakistan and the North Korean Nuclear Program by Seymour H. Hersh The New Yorker, January 27, 2003, p. 42 ff. [sorry, no web link that I am aware of]