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Politics : Foreign Policy Discussion Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: lorne who wrote (2954)1/29/2003 11:19:04 AM
From: zonder  Respond to of 15987
 
Do you think the USA is responsible for EU economic woes.?

No.

Re EUR/USD - I feel the "woes" are woefully exaggerated.

(1) Eurozone is a relatively closed economy, with exports at only about 15% of GDP.

(2) Last year, when EUR appreciated by about 15%, Eurozone exports increased by 1.1%.

In all, higher EUR is not good for Germany, whose slight increase in exports was the only thing keeping them from recession last year. However, it is not such a big deal for the Eurozone in general.

If necessary, ECB has a lot of room to lower the interest rates (currently at 2.75% repo) to stimulate the economy and depreciate the currency.

I hope this has answered your question.