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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LindyBill who wrote (70029)1/29/2003 7:02:15 PM
From: JohnM  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 281500
 
Bush's hands are not tied. He is free to invade.

No, he's actually in a rather difficult political stew at the moment. With a rather high level of opposition in the UNSC, higher still levels of opposition throughout the world, and confusion and some fairly high levels of opposition in the US. If he goes without changing those dynamics some, we will all be in the stew. It is very possible to win the battle and lose the war; successfully invade Iraq and there are few to cheer. Not a happy fate.

I think we just have to wait and see, see what Powell does next week; whether Bush has another speech up his sleeve; whether the inspection regime gets renewed by the USNC (those rumours via Robin Wright that the Bush folk would propose another deadline and were arguing over 30 or 60 days.)



To: LindyBill who wrote (70029)1/29/2003 7:46:23 PM
From: jcky  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 281500
 
Bush's hands are not tied. He is free to invade. Congress has back him with a resolution, and we are going in.

The support from Congress is only as transitory as the support from the American public. And right now, there is good support from Americans only if our invasion, occupation, and reconstruction of Iraq is approached from a multilateral direction. Once a unilateral invasion of Iraq has begun and if the post-war scenario does not play out according to the romanticized script of peace, modernity, and democracy or if there is another significant attack in our homeland during the war, I suspect Bush2.0 will become a lame duck president for the remainder of his short tenure as commander-in-chief.

Is the invasion of Iraq a political gamble for the president? You better believe it and painting himself into a corner on the merit of neocon ideology will an interesting story to follow.

Get over it.

Get over what?