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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: NickSE who wrote (70162)1/30/2003 12:47:24 AM
From: NickSE  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 281500
 
It's Not "All About Oil," But...
Victory in Iraq would reshuffle the global players with big stakes in the country's oil fields
businessweek.com

...So who will reap the big bucks from getting Saddam's oil fields back on track? At this point, Iraq is believed to have contracts worth about $38 billion pending with such companies as Italy's ENI, Royal Dutch/Shell, Australia's BHP (BHP ), TotalFinaElf, and Russian giant Lukoil. Sanctions have precluded American companies from doing business in Iraq, and foreign concerns are likely to continue to exploit their long-standing links. Yet the sanctions have also stalled efforts by non-U.S. companies to complete their deals and start development.

EXACTING REVENGE? France is by far the biggest player. The giant TotalFinaElf now has development rights to roughly 25% of total Iraqi reserves. In theory, the country's long relationship with Iraq's oil technocrats could put French outfits in good shape for more deals after any war. But at the moment, many French industry officials remain convinced that the Americans will exact revenge if France fails to fully support the war effort. While Russian contracts may be honored, "ours won't be," predicts a top executive of TotalFinaElf. That's why some French observers insist that when push comes to shove in the U.N., France will march in step -- mainly to protect its oil stakes.

Russia is in a more delicate position. Iraq owes Moscow $8 billion in Soviet-era debt. In 1997, Lukoil signed a $3.5 billion, 23-year deal to revive Iraq's al-Qurnah field, which has 7.8 billion barrels of proven reserves. But the accord was put on ice since President Vladimir V. Putin's support for the U.S.-led sanctions drive.

Now Lukoil is sending a high-level delegation in February to heal the breach -- the second such diplomatic overture in recent weeks. Lukoil President Vagit Alekperov claims to have Kremlin assurances that his interests will be protected in a post-Saddam regime. That has many industry observers convinced that an informal accord with Washington is in place, one that would restore Lukoil's stake in Iraq....



To: NickSE who wrote (70162)1/30/2003 9:41:20 AM
From: ig  Respond to of 281500
 
"The reopening of the air base at Harir - less than 100 miles from the Iranian border - and other signs of military activity in the Kurdish region have already caused concern in Iran, whose state-controlled Arabic-language satellite television reports such operations with alarm."

Iran -- a Persian (non-Arabic), Farsi-speaking nation -- has a "state-controlled Arabic-language satellite television" station? Really?!

ig