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Biotech / Medical : VD's Model Portfolio & Discussion Thread -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Vector1 who wrote (9511)1/30/2003 1:30:02 PM
From: Icebrg  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9719
 
V!

>>Spending at an alarming rate>>

Some of this is tied to their R&D early cooperations and there is revenue to match.

>>Obesity program a failure>>

But was it in the stock price?

>>$560m of debt coming due>>

600 actually. Yes, that is a concern.

>>IMO Velcade has less than 50% chance of approval on phase II trial>>

80-90 % I would say. These were good results for patients who didn't have many other options. Considering ODAC voted in favor of Iressa, I can't see how or why they should turn down Velcade.

>>Integrin is a good product but modest growth ahead.>>

Yes, it will slow down. Velcade is the key for this year. In combination with how they will be handling their debt.

Erik



To: Vector1 who wrote (9511)1/30/2003 1:38:54 PM
From: CYBERKEN  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9719
 
Someone predicted here that obesity was a dead end. Can't remember who it was...



To: Vector1 who wrote (9511)3/10/2003 11:14:40 AM
From: Icebrg  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9719
 
>> IMO Velcade has less than 50% chance of approval on phase II trial. Looks desperate to me. If at end of 60 day period FDA accepts submission I may reconsider.>>

They did today, according to company PR.
Erik

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