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Strategies & Market Trends : P&S and STO Death Blow's -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jeff who wrote (27186)	1/31/2003 1:48:51 AM
From: sun-tzu	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 30712

Bradley Siderograph (courtesy of Les) Amanita Newsletter -- 1/28/03 -- amanita.at Bradley Siderograph: The weekly reports of the search engine on amanita.at show two favorites: about 30% of all inquiries are "Bradley" or "siderograph" and 10% "Nasdaq" (moreover, ca. 5% are searching for Nasdaq stocks). I am not surprised that the Bradley siderograph is the absolute leader, however it is astonishing that a market that has crashed by 80% in less than 3 years is still so important. From a contrary perspective, this is very bearish. A good bottom indicator would be the absolute lack in interest. This type of anecdotal indicators is quite reliable in my experience, e.g. in late February/early March 2000 I suddenly received numerous requests by "greenhorns" who wanted to make a big buck in the soaring stock markets. This observation fully confirmed my expectation that mid-March 2000 would be a very important top. Of similar significance is the perception expressed in e-mails, for instance, it is quite revealing when people are talking of a "break-out to the upside" while the charts do not show a breakout of any kind. Or when, after a few strong days, I have inquiries in my mailbox whether this rally will continue for several weeks. When this bear market is over, the Nasdaq will trade below 200 or even below 100 points, and no one will be interested in the Nasdaq anymore. Now back to the favorite of the visitors on amanita.at, the Bradley siderograph -- amanita.at The geocentric siderograph (which is somewhat more reliable than the heliocentric) called for a trend-reversal (top, although the high/ low indication is not reliable) on January 10 and the major US indexes indeed topped on January 13 which is within the normal range of +/- 4 days. The next reversals are predicted for 2/21/03 (helio) and 3/13/03 (geo), and many other methods confirm that one of these two dates (i.e., 2/17-2/25 and 3/9-3/17) will be the next intermediate-term bottom. Here is a table of the forecasted intermediate-term trend-reversals within the past 12 months (benchmark S&P 500): * low 2/20-21/02: exact low * high 3/20-21/02: actual high 3/19, inaccuracy: 1 trading day * low 6/26/02 or 7/22/02: actual low 7/23 (close) resp. 7/24 (intraday), inaccuracy: 1 resp. 2 trading days * high 8/26/02: actual high 8/26, inaccuracy: 2 trading days * low 10/29/02: failure * double-top 11/8/02 & 12/4/02: actual double-top 11/6 & 12/2, inaccuracy: 2 trading days above found at link forums.delphiforums.com

To: Jeff who wrote (27186)	1/31/2003 1:52:47 AM
From: Win-Lose-Draw	Respond to of 30712

delete.

To: Jeff who wrote (27186)	1/31/2003 2:10:53 AM
From: Lone Ranger	Respond to of 30712

jeff, DB's and AV's, wish I would have studied them more, or I might find myself down on the floor... 800 bottom, 1700 top, your tops and bottoms, have been good to me in the past, hope these two give me a blast.... its what in between which causes confusion, usually adds to my delusions, 1700 top, 800 bottom, patience usually is the solution<g>

To: Jeff who wrote (27186)	1/31/2003 2:29:43 AM
From: LTK007	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 30712

Jeff you can ram it up your god damn egomaniacal BUTT! Ban me or don't ban me i swear i will NEVER post on this "Heil Hitler" thread again--EVER!!! That is fact. Max To all Jeff wants his 10 messages a day thread back where he posts and everybody licks his butt for his retrace theory which happens to be a thought existent in many minds before he claimed possession of it. --let the facker have his damned thread. Max

To: Jeff who wrote (27186)	1/31/2003 4:55:13 AM
From: Mongo2116	Respond to of 30712

I wish I had a dime for all the guys who thought they had "the" answer. Thanks for telling us the market will be between 800 and 1700, that narrows it down for me, I was thinking between zero to infinity <GGGGGG>

To: Jeff who wrote (27186)	1/31/2003 4:31:01 PM
From: shane101	Respond to of 30712

it's guys like you is why i can't stand posting..... i'm only posting from now on to the folks who thanked me for that retrace..... people i like.....and who appreciated the effort... the thread is yours now.....lets see what you can do.... feel free to lay out the map we all can follow..... What a crock. You've already banned three posters for criticizing you. Do you think more people will think you know what you're talking about if you ban everyone who disagrees with or criticizes you? This thread is useless when only brown-nosers are allowed to post. Why don't you be a man, admit when you're wrong, accept criticism once and a while, and don't take everything so personal? It's not bad to be wrong Jeff. It's bad to pretend you never are and then ban anyone who sees through the facade. Go ahead and ban me too. Your anger at those who disagree with you is a tell-tail sign of your insecurity. best... LIG