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Strategies & Market Trends : Strictly: Drilling II -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Silver Super Bull who wrote (27335)2/3/2003 8:39:49 PM
From: Victor Lazlo  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 36161
 
I recently read a stat in busweek claiming that overall personal debt to income ratios are not any higher that avg for the last 30 years.

The higher end houses are definately taking longer to sell and are being repriced lower, but the middle and starter home segments won't get hurt much unless things get significantly worse economically, which i wouldn't rule out.



To: Silver Super Bull who wrote (27335)2/3/2003 9:55:12 PM
From: LLCF  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 36161
 
<RE: <I don't suppose you realize that over %40 of homes are owned outright.>

This is not bullish... in fact it's bearish as it means the statistics out there one the debt loads are much worse for those that ARE in debt [the other 60% have the agreggate debt]. Besides, any market is ruled by the marginal sell or buyer. All you need is a couple of comps @ 210,000 vs 30000 last year to put thousands of loans underwater. That seems like a big drop, but don't fool yourself... forclosures get sold with or without liquid markets.

DAK