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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: tejek who wrote (159990)2/4/2003 7:27:22 AM
From: hmaly  Respond to of 1580039
 
Ted Re..You don't think we can knock a missile out of the sky should they decide to send one to Japan? Furthermore, how far do you think Long Jim would get before China was all over him like bees on honey. The last thing China wants is destabilization in the region caused by someone else other than China.

Ah, I see you are on my side now, let China take care of its wayward child. Another thing China doesn't want is for SK and Japan to go nuclear to defend themselves; which could happen pretty easily now. China should have stepped in a long time ago, as this saber rattling will have negative reactions for them. GW has started SDI without a murmur, SK becomes more dependent upon the US, and Japan might go nuclear; none of which China wants.

I think we do what we've been doing for the past couple of months and like Clinton did before. Watch NK closely, and drag negotiations out long into the future and hope that long jim kicks fairly soon.

The biggest problem with that is that shortly, Kim LL will have twice the number of warheads. And even worse, all growth could be cut off on the peninsula. Lets look at it this way. Both NK and SK were equivalent in size, population and living standards in the 60s. Since then SK has doubled its population comparatively, and increased its living standard 6 times over. Which means KimLL has killed or aborted the lives of 20 mil people and forced 90% of the rest to live in poverty. That is hardly the type of situation the world wants to continue. What to do? I simply don't see KimLL nuking China, no matter what, and I doubt if NK army would fire a bullet, and China has a lot to lose, so China is the answer.



To: tejek who wrote (159990)2/4/2003 1:24:56 PM
From: TimF  Respond to of 1580039
 
You don't think we can knock a missile out of the sky should they decide to send one to Japan?

We can't. Well maybe the early ABMs we are testing would have a shot but they are not operational yet and they aren't in Japan or South Korea.

Furthermore, how far do you think Long Jim would get before China was all over him like bees on honey. The last thing China wants is destabilization in the region caused by someone else other than China.

The scenario would be won where North Korea was already desperate either at war and in danger of being conquered or perhaps a situation where the government was in danger of falling.

Tim