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To: Raymond Duray who wrote (28416)	2/4/2003 3:27:05 PM
From: Don Lloyd	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Ray, >>Every developed country in the world is trending toward below replacement rate fertility.<< This is simply incorrect. The U.S. is the outlier to this trend. I doubt it. The U.S. probably has at least a half dozen major distinct population groups, so treating it as a single statistical entity will be misleading. It is almost certain that the trend in fertility is down in all of these populations, but whether some or all have, or will reach non-replacement fertility levels is a question for the future. The non-replacement level has not proved to be a support level in Italy, for example. Regards, Don

To: Raymond Duray who wrote (28416)	2/5/2003 3:51:15 AM
From: stockman_scott	Respond to of 74559

Bush’s Depressing Economy Everything will work out just fine, the president says. But a close look at his economic record so far suggests that he has a ‘fuzzy math’ problem By Allan Sloan NEWSWEEK President Bush radiated calm and assurance about the troubled economy in his State of the Union Message last week. “To bring our economy out of recession, we delivered the largest tax relief in a generation,” our Harvard M.B.A. president said, to loud applause. He later added, “Lower taxes and greater investment will help this economy expand.” It’s a theme he will undoubtedly repeat to help sell the budget he submits to Congress this week... msnbc.com