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To: Les H who wrote (5431)	2/4/2003 6:12:48 PM
From: Les H	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 29599

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To: Les H who wrote (5431)	2/4/2003 11:14:03 PM
From: Scott Bergquist	Respond to of 29599

Recommended by New Yorker Magazine: "The Threatening Storm: The Case for Invading Iraq" by Kenneth M Pollack (2002). All that has been stated and argued here in this thread is addressed in the book. Most people's ideas are "half" right according to Pollack's account. Some are quite flawed. I bought the book at B&N and have read about 200 different pages of its 466+ pages. Kenneth Pollack is PhD (MIT) and a Yalie, former Natl Security Council Director, seven years worked as a CIA Persian Gulf military analyst (forecast Iraqi invasion of Kuwait, when even Saudis said "Saddam is bluffing"). My summary: he lays out a good case for military action. This guy Saddam Hussein (his name means "he who confronts") is NOT going into exile. He is a ruthless psychopath surrounded by rings of security, thousands of people. Excerpt: "The whole notion of going to the United Nations to strengthen the sanctions misses the crucial changes that have occurred in international opinion in the last ten years. There is no meaningful support for a tough containment policy toward Iraq. The vast majority of countries simply want the problem to go away. Ambassador Richard Butler, the former chairman of UNSCOM, relates an anecdote that sums up the problem. In 1999, former Brazilian foreign minister Celso Amorim was asked by the United Nations to conduct a series of reviews of Iraqi compliance, and before taking up this task he asked Butler whether "we really need to have the Iraq problem on our table every six months.... We've all become very tired of the Iraq problem. Isn't there some way of getting rid of it, once and for all??" When Butler replied, "Certainly, by disarming Saddam," Amorim concluded, "Oh, well.. I'm afraid that's probably too much to ask." The current game with inspectors is 1998 all over again. Saddam is counting on France and Russia to blunt a final US victory. Typical Saddam security ploy: Guards would be sleeping, and another group would burst into the room, acting as if a coup (overthrow of Saddam) was in progress. Guns would be held to the sleepy guards, with the intruders asking, "Are you with us, or against us??" Those that answered they were "for" the "plotters" were executed on the spot.