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To: excardog who wrote (17830)2/4/2003 8:40:15 PM
From: quehubo  Respond to of 206191
 
Excar - That is very bullish news about Hydro. Have you anything on your radar worth mentioning?

It sure would be nice to get a grip on the possible impacts of demand destruction. My sense is that the majority of it has already occurred. But I dont have that good of a feel for it. But I know we will be able to see it happen. The supply is dropping profoundly and we wont see a stabilization with 1,000 rigs a poppin.

People forget that many of the new NG fired plants came online to meet incremental demand, and that they are price setters not price takers.

Anyway remember the NG story is about supply, weather and electric demand. Too bad the weather is just normal.



To: excardog who wrote (17830)2/5/2003 12:42:11 AM
From: upanddown  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 206191
 
My feeling is California may be right back to 2000 crisis stage in 2003

I'm wondering what the supply situation would be in CA right now if we were having normal winter weather. The January weather in Southern California was amazing, 75 every day and not a bit of rain, the warmest January on record.
It may be surprising because of the temperate climate but CA has the 2nd largest NG usage (approx 10% of demand) after TX at approx 20%.

John