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Politics : DON'T START THE WAR -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: louisebaltimore who wrote (5621)2/5/2003 5:23:25 PM
From: PartyTime  Respond to of 25898
 
FBI: Al-Qaida Still Main Terrorism Threat

By CURT ANDERSON
Associated Press Writer

February 5, 2003, 5:05 PM EST

WASHINGTON -- Al-Qaida is weakened and scattered but remains the top threat to commit terrorist attacks in the United States, the FBI says in a first-of-its-kind national assessment for Congress.

The study also says there are other Muslim extremist groups engaged in a "jihad," or holy war, against the United States and other Western countries. Some of them provide "varying degrees of support" to al-Qaida, according to the report, which a government official described Wednesday on condition of anonymity.

The FBI assessment comes amid heightened concern about potential terrorist attacks timed to coincide with the Hajj, the annual pilgrimage Muslims make to Mecca. The three-day holy period begins Sunday.

Recent intelligence, coupled with the Muslim holy days, could lead to an increase in the nation's terrorism alert system, according to U.S. government officials speaking on condition of anonymity. It now stands at yellow, or elevated, which is the middle tier in a five-color system.

Gordon Johndroe, spokesman for the Homeland Security Department, said the threat level is evaluated daily and there are no immediate plans to raise the threat level.

"We remain concerned about the continued al-Qaida activity overseas as well as al-Qaida sympathizers here in the United States," he said. "Should additional information and analysis develop requiring the threat level to be raised, we will keep the American public informed as always."

The FBI assessment, most of which is classified, will be delivered to members of the House and Senate intelligence committees next week by FBI Director Robert Mueller. Originally promised in 2000, a version was completed just a day before the Sept. 11 terror attacks and has since been rewritten amid criticism from Capitol Hill for the delay.

The central conclusion is that "al-Qaida led by Osama bin Laden remains, for the foreseeable future, the most serious threat against the United States."

The report cites various U.S. intelligence sources as evidence that al-Qaida operatives around the world continue to discuss large-scale strikes against the United States. Al-Qaida continues to be actively attempting to acquire chemical, biological, radiological and even nuclear weapons, the report adds.

Even though al-Qaida has been driven from its refuge in Afghanistan, the report says the organization remains viable. It cites the October nightclub bombing in Bali, Indonesia, that killed nearly 200 and November attacks on a resort and airliner in Kenya as evidence the network is still capable of inflicting great destruction.

The Kenyan attacks occurred nearly simultaneously. A vehicle packed with explosives plowed into a hotel, killing 15 people. Minutes earlier, unidentified assailants fired two missiles at an Arkia Airlines Boeing 757, narrowly missing the charter aircraft as it was taking off from Mombasa airport with Israeli tourists returning to Tel Aviv.

German Interior Minister Otto Schily, his country's top counterterrorism official, told reporters in Washington on Wednesday that the "strength of al-Qaida groups is as high as it was before Sept. 11, maybe also a little bit more than before."

"The threat has dimensions that are really dangerous," he said.

The FBI assessment concludes that al-Qaida or its sympathizers are mostly likely to mount smaller-scale attacks, perhaps on an individual basis, and that so-called "soft targets" such as the Bali nightclub could be hit because they are difficult to protect.

The assessment also details actions the FBI is taking to improve its counterterrorism efforts, such as enhancing its intelligence analysis abilities, focusing more agents on fighting terrorism and upgrading its computer capabilities.

* __

Associated Press writer Ron Fournier contributed to this report.

Copyright © 2003, The Associated Press

newsday.com



To: louisebaltimore who wrote (5621)2/5/2003 5:26:37 PM
From: PartyTime  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25898
 
February 5, 2003

TIMES POLL
Poll Analysis: Bush Is Not The Stealth Candidate He Was Right After 9/11
[*] Sens. Joe Lieberman and John Kerry are leading the pack of Democratic contenders for president.

By Susan Pinkus, Times Poll Director

After the tragedy of Sept. 11, 2001, President Bush had stratospheric job performance ratings, no Democrat would openly criticize the president or his administration for fear of jeopardizing their own career, and his goodwill among the people in the nation was formidable. Even in a Times poll taken less than two months ago, 63% of Americans thought the president was handling his job well and 52% said they would vote to reelect Mr. Bush as president in 2004. According to the current Los Angeles Times poll, the president?s overall job approval rating has declined by seven points and he is held to below 50% in a hypothetical match-up with a Democratic candidate. The standings are 45% for President Bush and 40% for a Democratic candidate.

President Bush?s overall ratings have come back down to earth and the Democrats are starting to take off their white gloves and criticize the president on his economic package and other issues on his agenda. The poll shows that Americans prefer the Democrat?s tax plan over the president?s and they also oppose Mr. Bush?s proposed Medicare redesign. The poll also shows that the close partisan differences in the 2000 election are starting to reemerge as it was before September 11th.

Democratic candidates

Among Democratic registered voters, Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman and Massachusetts Senator John Kerry are in front of the pack with 25% and 20%, respectively. Former Senator Gary Hart and North Carolina Senator John Edwards followed each with 8% of the vote, Missouri Congressman Dick Gephardt and Florida Senator Bob Graham each with 6% of the vote, Rev. Al Sharpton had the support of 2% of the voters and bringing up the rear is former Governor of Vermont Howard Dean at 1%. These results are showing name identification of the candidates and should be seen as a baseline for the 2004 presidential election.

However, if Senator Lieberman should be the next Democratic presidential candidate, almost two-thirds of the electorate said they had confidence that if the next president was Jewish, he would be able to deal fairly with both the Palestinians and the Israelis.

Bush vs. Democratic candidate

This poll shows that the country is politically divided?91% of Republican voters would cast their ballot for Bush, while 84% of Democrats would support their party?s candidate. Independents who are usually swing voters in presidential elections would split their vote?41% for the Democrats and 38% for the president. (Independents, by 12 points in a Times? December ?02 poll, said they would vote for Bush. The wording of the question varied slightly.) However, conservative independents by 43 points say they would vote for President Bush, while the liberal to moderate independents by 32 points would opt for the Democratic candidate. If independents remain divided, the 2004 election will be a very close race, perhaps mirroring the 2000 election.

The poll is showing a gender gap with men supporting Mr. Bush by 49% to 37%, while women are divided, 42% for the president and 43% for the Democrat. White voters are solidly behind the president?52% to 32%?while the opposite is true of minorities overall. Three in five minority voters support the Democrat to 29% for President Bush. (There were not enough blacks, Latinos and Asians to break out separately.)

How the Poll Was Conducted

The Times Poll contacted 1,197 registered voters, including 399 registered Democrats, nationwide by telephone Jan. 30?Feb. 2. Telephone numbers were chosen from a list of all exchanges in the nation. Random-digit dialing techniques were used so that listed and unlisted numbers could be contacted. The entire sample was weighted slightly to conform with census figures for sex, race, age, education and region. The margin of sampling error for all registered voters is plus or minus 3 percentage points; for registered Democrats it is 5 points. For certain subgroups the error margin may be somewhat higher. Poll results can also be affected by other factors such as question wording and the order in which questions are presented.

latimes.com



To: louisebaltimore who wrote (5621)2/5/2003 5:29:18 PM
From: PartyTime  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25898
 
Mexico sides with 'Old Europe' on Iraq

Story by : Michael Forbes

Mexican President Vicente Fox surprised many this week when he said Mexico coincided with Germany in its opposition to unilateral military action in Iraq by the United States.
In a brief press conference in Berlin after meeting with German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder Wednesday, Fox said Mexico would go forward with Germany because the two countries had similar viewpoints.
"It's clear we don't want war," said Fox, adding that a multilateral solution to the Iraq problem is the most desirable approach.
Mexican Minister of Foreign Affairs Ernesto Luis Derbez said that Fox spoke with French President Jacques Chirac the evening of Tuesday, January 28.
"We found that President Chirac has a position that approximates with ours," Derbez told the Mexican press.
Both Germany and France were singled out by U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld last week as representing "Old Europe" and being out of touch with modern reality.
A permanent member of the U.N. Security Council, France has said it will not support a U.S.-led war with Iraq unless the United Nations approves such action.
Mexico, currently a United Nations' Security Council member, has not indicated how it might vote on a motion to approve a U.S.-led attack on Iraq.
Mexican Ambassador to the United Nations Adolfo Aguilar Zinser said Mexico desired a peaceful solution to the conflict and wants UN weapons inspectors to finish their work before discussing war. Zinser said he met this week with the Iraqi delegate to the UN and urged greater cooperation with weapons inspectors.
Zinser invited the United States to present evidence that, he said, "in the opinion of Mexico, would be relevant to the work of the inspectors."
U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell is scheduled to present classified intelligence the United States has on Iraqi weapons stashes on February 5.
The United States and Britain, also permanent members of the Security Council, have threatened repeatedly to wage war with Iraq with or without the support of the United Nations.
All five permanent members have the power to veto any UN Security Council resolution.
Mexico and nine other nations -- Angola, Bulgaria, Cameroon, Chile, Guinea, Germany, Pakistan, Syria and Spain -- are currently on the rotating Security Council. Only Spain has given its outright support to the United States.
Other nations have either decided against military action for the time being or have not made a statement.
However, if the Security Council were to have voted on taking military action against Iraq last week, more than likely the resolution would not have passed.
Though not all have made statements regarding military action, nine of the 15 nations have stated that weapons inspections should continue.
In a closely related issue last week, Spain and Britain led an eight-country European delegation that published an article thanking the United States for its "bravery and generosity" in ensuring peace in Europe. It was interpreted as an indirect reference to France, Germany and Russia's lack of support for the United States' stance on Iraq.
The article was published Thursday, January 30 in international editions of the Wall Street Journal, the Times of London and various European newspapers. It was signed by the head of state of Britain, Spain, the Czech Republic, Denmark, Hungary, Italy, Poland and Portugal.

guadalajarareporter.com



To: louisebaltimore who wrote (5621)2/5/2003 8:42:11 PM
From: Karen Lawrence  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25898
 
That is so true, LouiseBaltimore. Another truism: This is the DON'T START THE WAR thread. Why do the warmongering psychotics continue to clusterslam this board? Why don't they start their own thread. I'll tell you why. For those folks, life just isn't fun unless they're doing something despicable and obnoxious like posting here.
Powell Tells UN Not to Shrink from Disarming Iraq

By Arshad Mohammed and Evelyn Leopold
dailynews.att.net
UNITED NATIONS (Reuters) - Secretary of State Colin Powell on Wednesday used audio tapes of intercepted Iraqi conversations and satellite photos to argue Iraq concealed arms by bulldozing chemical weapons sites, hiding rocket launchers under palm trees and moving mobile bioweapon labs on trucks.

In a high-stakes speech before the U.N. Security Council, Powell sought to convince skeptical nations it may be necessary to use force to disarm Iraq rather than allow U.N. weapons inspections to go on indefinitely.

"Unless we act we are confronting an even more frightening future," said Powell as the U.S. military staged a build-up of forces for a possible attack on Iraq. "Clearly, Saddam will stop at nothing until something stops him."

The Bush administration argues that war may be the only way to stop Saddam Hussein's defiance but Powell did not appear to change many minds among the 15 Security Council members, with most but not all saying inspectors needed more time. Key council members France, Russia and China did not budge.

His rapid-fire speech included audio tapes of Iraqi officials who he said were discussing how to hide things from inspectors and aerial photos of what he said were cleaned up chemical arms bunkers. The presentation took some 80 minutes.

Powell said Iraq gave orders to sanitize documents that referred to "nerve agents," had hidden sensitive documents in cars that were driven around the country and placed weapons scientists under house arrest to keep them from inspectors.

He revealed new information in making a case about alleged Qaeda ties to Iraq, saying members of a group affiliated with Abu Musab Zarqawi, who has had contacts with al Qaeda, have been operating freely in Baghdad for eight months.

Washington blames Osama bin Laden's al Qaeda network for the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks on the United States that killed about 3,000 people. But Powell was careful not to draw any direct link between Iraq and the Sept. 11 attacks.

Powell cited informants as saying Iraq was hiding rocket launchers and warheads armed with biological weapons under palm trees in western Iraq, showed photos of what he said were 15 munitions bunkers, and said reports showed Iraq had 18 trucks as biological weapons laboratories.

"FRIGHTENING FUTURE"

"We wrote (U.N. resolution) 1441 to give Iraq one last chance. Iraq is not so far taking that one last chance. We must not shrink from whatever is ahead of us. We must not fail in our duty and responsibility," Powell told grim faced foreign ministers and ambassadors.

In his presentation, Powell argued that Iraq is in "further material breach" of U.N. resolutions. He demanded that Iraq disarm and said it was now in danger of suffering "serious consequences," diplomatic code words for possible war.

In financial markets, stocks and oil prices rose and safe-haven U.S. Treasuries slipped.

The Bush administration hopes that Powell's speech, followed by a report by U.N. arms inspectors on Feb. 14, would fulfill requirements in a key Nov. 8 resolution 1441, even if the Security Council does not explicitly authorize force.

The inspectors, Hans Blix and Mohamed ElBaradei are going to Baghdad this weekend, possibly their last trip.

Asked what would happen next, Powell told reporters later: "It is a matter for the Security Council to deal with them (Iraq)," he said. "We will wait and see what happens when the inspectors go to Baghdad this weekend."

Administration officials said that despite public statements by many council members asking for more time, Chile, Cameroon, and Angola in private discussions gave support to U.S. policy in addition to Spain, Bulgaria and staunch ally Britain.

France's foreign minister called on the Security Council to strengthen its inspection regime and said military action against Baghdad should be only a final resort. Russia, China, Germany, Mexico, Guinea, Syria and others said inspectors should be given more time.

"The message today has been clear," U.N. Secretary-General Kofi Annan said. "Everyone wants Iraq to be proactive in cooperating with the inspectors and fulfill the demands of the international community. And if they do that, we can avoid a war."

"I am not going to Baghdad, but the inspectors are going and they should be listened to," Annan said.

As Powell spoke, North Korea, which Washington named with Iraq and Iran as an "axis of evil" after the Sept. 11 attacks, sounded a defiant note, saying it had restarted atomic facilities at the center of its suspected nuclear weapons program and was putting them on a "normal footing."

The United States and North Korea have been at an impasse over its suspected program since October. But in contrast with its approach to Iraq, Washington has said repeatedly it intends to settle differences with Pyongyang peacefully.

WEAPONS ARE 'NOT LIKE ASPIRIN PILL'

Iraq's U.N. ambassador Mohammed Aldouri, the last to speak to the Security Council, accused Powell of manufacturing evidence and said Baghdad had no banned weapons.

"Programs for weapons of mass destruction are not like an aspirin pill, easily hidden. They require huge production facilities, starting from research and development facilities, to factories, to weaponization, then deployment," he said.

"Inspectors have criss-crossed all of Iraq and have found none of that," Aldouri said.

Powell played audio of Iraqi officers discussing the possibility that U.N. inspectors might find "modified" vehicles and "forbidden" ammunition.

"We have this modified vehicle ... What do we say if one of them sees it?" says an Iraqi colonel in one audiotape.

"You didn't get a modified ... you don't have a modified," replies an incredulous general. "I'll come to see you in the morning. I'm worried. You all have something left."

"We evacuated everything. We don't have anything left," the junior officer replies.

In another intercepted conversation, which Powell said took place as recently as Jan. 20 between officers of the elite Iraqi Republican Guard, Iraqi officials discussed cleaning up sites where inspectors might find "forbidden" weapons.

U.S. MILITARY BUILDUP

With U.S. Central Intelligence Agency Director George Tenet sitting behind him, Powell also displayed aerial photographs that he said showed a chemical weapons site before and after being cleaned up by Iraqi officials.

In the first image, he showed what he said was a bunker to store chemical weapons with a "decontamination vehicle" to deal with any leaks and a guard post to keep people away. In the second, the vehicle is gone, the area appears to have been cleaned up and U.N. inspectors are driving up to the site.

The U.S. military continued to build up its forces this week as the Pentagon deployed F-117A Stealth fighters, sent the USS Theodore Roosevelt aircraft carrier toward the Middle East and activated nearly 17,000 more Reserve troops, bringing the reservists on active duty to more than 111,000.

In another sign the region is bracing for war, Kuwait said it would close the northern half of the country bordering Iraq from Feb. 15 to step up training to defend against any attack and would close its airspace if war broke out.




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