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To: velociraptor_ who wrote (7625)2/6/2003 1:21:56 AM
From: mishedlo  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10157
 
From Brian
I looked to see what EWI saw in today's market, and they saw the same thing I did while looking at this afternoon's slide - 5 waves down from the top. Not only were there 5 waves, but they were all formed with nice sub-divisions. The day ended in a correction of the noon high - which may have a little more to go:
tinyurl.com

The S&P has failed to take out to top of that ending diagonal on monday, and now has traced out 5 waves down. EWI thinks the deed is done. After looking at the futures tonight, and looking for any other possible counts, I also think the deed is done.

The last major Fibonacci retracement is at 839. If we get below that in the next few days (or tomorrow), there will be very little room for any other EW count that doesn't involve a new low below the October low. A move above 865 will be another story.

The S&P is really at the edge of a cliff here. I think it's now or never for any meaningful rally. The EW count from today's highs makes it look like we're going down from here.

You can see the larger count on the chart list:

stockcharts.com

Look especially at the 6-month daily chart.

All the Best,
Brian



To: velociraptor_ who wrote (7625)2/6/2003 1:22:50 AM
From: mishedlo  Respond to of 10157
 
The high retrace suggests it wasn't and that means today's top is the next top be considered.

Huh?
Is that a call for a test of the Wed high?

M



To: velociraptor_ who wrote (7625)2/7/2003 9:51:09 PM
From: sa-mule  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 10157
 
Velo,

Where can I get info on retracements both short term(5-10-30) and longer 60,daily, weekly? Not how to draw and look but the rules, probablilites and how to use them to confirm/deny moves, so forth. I.E. I heard that if an index closes below the 61.8% retrace there is a good chance it goes all the way? Info, percentages like that would be great.

TIA,

Sam