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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: LLCF who wrote (28501)2/6/2003 10:52:31 PM
From: LLCF  Respond to of 74559
 
The final thing... some precious metals. And if Gold breaks out and $US looses confindence we'll be adding there. Don't buy gold stocks except highly inflationary periods... I don't think it's a good place to be. Actual bullion or bullion style coins.

Remember... I'm not bullish on the metals, but it could be different this time, they've experienced their bear markets. BUT, I think what your seeing in analogous to the silver rally in '31.

Q: Do you think there is any possiblity we have hyper inflation? What happened in Germany, deflation first?

A: The fed creates credit.. the Germans were printing notes, so I don't see that initially. So ultimately our only refuge WILL be gold and silver, but that's later... I am surprised commodities have rallied as far as they have, but my overall opinion is unchanged:

* Even Democrates are screaming about the spending.
* Bernakes solutions are NOT being implimented... the government just turned down airline bailouts.
* Essentially the attitude is still very conservative [deflationary], not inflationary.

Anyone who buys the book gets membership and updates on our ideas if they buy it here:

elliotwave.com

DAK



To: LLCF who wrote (28501)2/7/2003 4:28:54 AM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74559
 
<IMO the credit outstanding NOW is so vast>

DAK, the debt burden has been a huge worry for decades now and still doesn't seem to matter. People who get in too deep go bust. Somebody else takes over the assets. It happens all day every day. Yawn! Oh, look out, here comes the second coming too. Woe to us, it's the rapture!!! Quick, everyone up the mountain again.

Mqurice