To: Mao II who wrote (6148 ) 2/7/2003 7:50:04 AM From: 2MAR$ Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25898 the regime will aim to draw the US forces into urban warfare in Baghdad. A civilian death toll of at least 10,000 is likely, three times as many as died in the 11 September attacks; Very possibly so, I see Saddam arming women and children now . I'm not sure how many of those that were ordered to pose with guns in hand will actually be there in reality later on .<G> Every civilian death will be absolutely avoided whenever possible.this is a low estimate, the experience of urban warfare in Beirut and elsewhere suggests even higher casualties; I don't see this having any legitimate correlation to Beruit of yesteryear and the past . The world has changed much since then , it changes surprisingly fast these days you know , even sent a Hindu woman into space . The Iraqi's want this change too .evidence of Iraqi military tactics in 1991 shows that the survival of the regime is the core policy and that chemical and biological weapons are almost certain to be used, certainly against attacking troops and possibly against targets in neighbouring countries; Iraqi tactics in '91 , was to lay their weapons down and surrender as fast as they could drop them . At least the smart and living one's did . That war had to be ended in 4 days to not appear as inhumane and a complete rout . Still today the debate goes on if too much force was used . What makes you think now that they will be any less willing to surrender this time around ? Because Saddam is cornered ? Let him break out his WMD's then , for all to see. His end will be swifter in that case. His military is weak and in shambles . He's done .severe casualties arising to Iraqi use of chemical and biological weapons could result in a nuclear response - the first use of nuclear weapons since August 1945. Again , that remains to be seen . But this worst case scenario has yet to unfold , and is first predicated on Saddam showing his hand . He has these weapons? These weapons he is supposed to not have ? Seems you and these fellows know more than the weapons inspectors then <G>