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Strategies & Market Trends : Win Lose or Draw : Be A Steve, Make A Call -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: lurqer who wrote (1323)	2/8/2003 2:28:46 PM
From: Jeffrey S. Lillie	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 11447

wow you make me look bullish (ggg) on long term stuff. for the record, as i have my horns on short term of a few weeks to a month, i am very bearish longer term. interested to know how you would roll demographics into a timeline of 07/08 and then 18. i just know there is still plenty of excess adn it will take a few years to wring out. i agree on the inflation but i doubt it shows up in 2003. i think it will start to rear its ugly head in 2004. as it perks up interest rates will rise, bonds will get killed and be a very ugly option. money will flow to cash and stocks. the infusion to stocks may help ebb the flow, but who knows if its still a net draw or gain. interest rates up around 5-6% for savings will look outstanding to those battered by markets for four losing years in a row on the indexes in 2003. j