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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: carl a. mehr who wrote (172940)2/9/2003 9:10:51 AM
From: Amy J  Respond to of 186894
 
Carl, RE: "I believe that Paul Engel have seen the light!"

You're incorrectly representing Paul Engel's opinion.

Paul said he doesn't understand why anyone would have an issue with Intel's practices, as they are quite "above-board."

You obviously have a different opinion and you are entitled to your opinion, but if you could try not to misstate another person's opinion.

Frankly Carl, I don't think either you or I could recognize the bottom of a bear market, nor the top of a bull market. (And I am certainly guilty of that too, I just think it's illogical to accuse fraud on executives due to a bear market.)

You say you'd like to see the earnings charged by options, yet, you haven't thought through nor offered an opinion on how to reconcile, for example, a $3B option charge (that by way of example, Cisco had last year, that they no longer have today, because the value is now $130m). You have not offered any suggestion on how to present a clear operational picture, one that would not get convoluted by dumping stock stuff into the financial statements - it would obscure operational clarity. Have you ever driven decisions by looking at financial statements? It's incredibly useful if these are clear and not distorted by distorted costs.

I do see a lot of validity in John Fowler's logical post, about the question, why was there a doubling up on the # of shares for the top-most when their performance (as measured by the stock) didn't perform.

However, I looked at John's earlier post again, "the company's directors, chairman, chief executive and president did not receive any options."

I guess all of us missed that part. Oops.

Though I still think they should have used a hyperbola or logarithmic formula that tappered off to an asymptote rather than fully rewarding the second layer of the next five executives for a declining stock price and apply this aymptotic hyperbola to any refresh, including the annual grants, not just the refreshes. I think 400,000 shares in 2001 was a bit excessive too if one considers the stock isn't stuck forever - SIA's estimates of 20% & 22% growth translates to $45/share in two years assuming no change in fixed costs.

I think Intel's comp committee needs to understand that shareholder perception (at least mine, yours, and others on the thread) of the "top" includes the second layer of the next five(?) executives, not just the top 3. So, on that, we are in agreement on that item.

But financially, I don't see the approx $50m grant values that were awarded, as a big deal from a financial perspective, but I see it as a huge sensitivity issue for us investors, and probably for the employees too which means it becomes an investor issue. A good exec should be aware of the image they present to the public, and doubling up on the # of shares because of a declining price just doesn't present a good public image, only because the amount is huge, thus visible, at odds with investors, almost conveys an incentive for the stock to drop 50%.

RE: your other post about being disturbed that I value antitrust prevention by Dunlap

The law is above any company and any individual. I strongly, strongly believe this.

So, I value anyone that understands this with razor sharp clarity, and whom also protects their company & shareholders by actively enforcing their internal antitrust procedures to the fullest, to ensure obedience to the laws that govern this country.

What's more ethical: hurting the brandname/company, demoralizing other depts, embarrassing former employees, & hurting shareholders, by not being sufficiently aggressive enough to proactively ensure there isn't a renegade program manager doing something wrong that could get a company into anti-trust problems?

Edit: Just saw Watsonyouth's post about how he received no options from IBM for 20 years of service. Wow, IBM not giving an engineer options?

Regards,
Amy J



To: carl a. mehr who wrote (172940)2/9/2003 12:49:36 PM
From: tcmay  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
Carl Mehr: "I believe that Paul Engel have seen the light! ... As the Inner Circle proceeds to take the company "private" by their looting, Tim May may cross over. ...Sorry for the long time it took me."

On what do you base this outrageous claim, that Paul Engel has joined the anti-Intel crusade of yourself, Kapkan, Dan3, and others?

I spoke to Paul only yesterday (about my new iMac mostly) and he said nothing similar to what you've been raving about for the past couple of weeks. Do you have actual evidence of your claim?

It's weird to see you only just now, in the past few weeks, discovering that Intel executives get large stock options. Duh. Who'd've thunk it?

Options have been listed in the 10K and 10Q filings and suchlike for at least the past 30 years of Intel's public trading. And for the past 4 or 5 years the "Insider" page on Yahoo Stocks has had detailed filings covering the previous 1-2 years.

Am I surprised that "Jane Shaw" and "David Pottruck" get options of 30,000 shares a year, more or less? No. (Correcting backward for splits, this is around the 2500-3000 shares per year that I remember directors getting some years ago.)

Do I support all specific employees? I no longer keep close enough track to be able to judge. I do know that Noyce, Moore, Grove, Parker, Barrett, and so on were amongst the best scientists and managers I have seen, judging from comparative analyses of managers at other companies. And the world seems to think much the same. (They were/are very bright as well, and I've known a lot of very bright people in my life, including Richard Feynman, Jim Hartle, and a lot of my genius friends.)

Do I wish the stock price was higher? Of course. And I expect that within the next 2-3 years it will be higher, as the next expansion phase happens and as Intel benefits from having invested over the past 2 years while others were frightened out of expansion.

Do I think Intel managers are doing a good job? Yes. I think Intel is very well-prepared, with fabs and designs, for the coming upturn. Much better prepared than is AMD...or any of the Japanese companies. Even the Taiwanese and Korean companies have been slacking off in cutting-edge investment, leaving Intel and IBM and a few others to be fully-prepared for 90 nm/300 mm/SOI technologies. Intel will have several $2 billion fabs running this process just at the time it is needed.

"Running on all cylinders."

Trashing Intel management based on not having avoided the Tech Wreck of the past 3 years is silly. (The Tech Wreck was the hangover from the spending spree of the entire industry in 1998-99 (the run-up to Y2K, in my opinion, as companies replaced most of their old PCs.)

Trashing Intel Capital for not having forseen the collapse--when essentially no investors saw it either!!--is also silly. In 1999-2000 the telecoms and optical companies were riding high. I'll bet we could find many posts right here in SI Intel exhorting Intel to get into these hot areas. I recall a lot of folks talking about how Intel should consider merging with Broadcom, the then-high-flying optical company. And one could not watch an hour of CNBC without seeing numerous mentions of JDS Uniphase, Sienna, Broadcom, Cisco, Qualcomm, Commerce One, Juniper, and a dozen other high-fliers.

I recall you, Carl, relishing the booming stock price of Cisco.

Your trashing of Intel--and I must presume also of Cisco, which used and still uses the same kind of stock options--is unseemly and petty.

But I am happy for you that the Droids have embraced you and your trashing of the Evil Intel with such enthusiasm. You have found yourself a new family.

--Tim May



To: carl a. mehr who wrote (172940)2/9/2003 1:04:11 PM
From: steve harris  Respond to of 186894
 
Carl,
I find it unbelievable the number of people who support and defend giving the executives more options when the company is going the other way. The 2002 proxy is going to be interesting.

Message 18554295

Steve