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Politics : DON'T START THE WAR -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: 2MAR$ who wrote (6778)2/9/2003 7:28:39 AM
From: 2MAR$  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 25898
 
" The Liberal Quandary Over Iraq " (cont'd IV)

The Secularist

During the Congressional debates on the war resolution, it was just about impossible to hear an argument in favor of the administration without the words ''Munich'' and ''Chamberlain.'' The words ''Tonkin'' and ''Johnson'' were far rarer, which tells you something about the relative acceptability of World War II and Vietnam -- appeasement and quagmire -- as historical precedents. I wanted to ban all analogies, because they always seemed to be ways of avoiding the hardest questions. But the analogies are hard-wired, and Leon Wieseltier, the literary editor of The New Republic, is right to say that Americans of the postwar generation ''have operated with two primal scenes. One was the Second World War; one was the Vietnam War. And you can almost divide the camps on the use of American force between those whose model for its application was the Second World War and those whose model for its application was the Vietnam War.''

For Wieseltier, whose parents survived the Holocaust, the primal scene is American power helping to end evil. Shortly before I met him at his Washington home, Wieseltier had seen a TV documentary with rare footage of the gassing of Kurds by Saddam's army -- a reminder of a primal scene if ever there was one. But that was in 1988, when America failed to intervene. Today, American and British pilots in the no-fly zone are preventing the very genocide that Wieseltier feels would justify an invasion.

Wieseltier is a secular liberal in the classical sense. He says he believes that the separation of religion and power marked a violent rupture with the past. This rupture created a new and universal idea of freedom and equality -- one that Islamic societies around the world have not yet been ready to face. Sept. 11 was a cataclysmic ''refreshment'' of this idea, after years in which only money mattered. But terrorism should not turn liberals into simple-minded missionaries; being a secular liberal means accepting that the world is a difficult place. ''Democracy in Iraq would be a blessing, but it cannot be the main objective for embarking on a major war,'' Wieseltier says. ''If there is one thing that liberalism has no time for, it's an eschatological mentality. There is no single, sudden end to injustice. There's slow, steady, fitful progress toward a more decent and democratic world.''

Wieseltier says he believes that Saddam's weapons and fondness for using them will probably necessitate a war, but unlike some other editors at The New Republic, he is not eager to start one. ''We will certainly win,'' Wieseltier says, ''but it is a war in which we are truly playing with fire.''

The Idealist

Paul Berman's book ''A Tale of Two Utopias: The Political Journey of the Generation of 1968'' traced a line from the rebellions of the 1960's to the nonviolent revolutions of 1989. It is essentially a line from leftism to liberalism. With the fall of the Berlin Wall, the great ideological battles of the 20th century seemed to have ended: liberal democracy reigned supreme.

Then came Sept. 11, which, Berman argues in a coming book called ''Terror and Liberalism,'' showed that, as it turns out, the 20th century isn't quite over yet.

''The terrorism we face right now is actually a form of totalitarianism,'' Berman told me in his Brooklyn apartment. ''The only possible way to oppose totalitarianism is with an alternative system, which is that of a liberal society.'' So the war that began on Sept. 11 is primarily a war of ideas, and Berman harshly criticizes Bush for failing to pursue it. ''We're going into a very complex and long war disarmed, in which our most important assets have been stripped away from us, which are our ideals and our ideas. He's sending us into war with one arm tied behind our back.''

Berman argues for a war in Iraq on three grounds: to free up the Middle East militarily for further actions against Al Qaeda, to liberate the Iraqi people from their dungeon and to establish ''a beachhead of Arab democracy'' and shift the region's center of gravity away from autocracy and theocracy and toward liberalization. In other words, war in Iraq has everything to do with the war on terrorism, and the dangers of an American military occupation that might not be seen by everyone in the region as ''pro-Muslim,'' though they worry Berman, don't deter him.


Perhaps the boldest intellectual move he makes is to claim a liberal descent for these ideas -- connecting the fall of the Berlin Wall, Bosnia, Kosovo, Sept. 11 and Iraq. This lineage, Berman claims, is represented not by George W. Bush but by Tony Blair, ''leader of the free world.'' Bush has presented the wars on terrorism and Saddam as matters of U.S. security. In fact, Berman says, they are wars for liberal civilization, and the rest of the democratic world should want to join. It doesn't bother Berman to hear conservative hawks at the Pentagon like Paul Wolfowitz talking similarly. ''If their language is sincere,'' he says, ''and there is an idealism among the neo-cons that echoes and reflects in some way the language of the liberal interventionists of the 90's, well, that would be a good thing.''

But Berman, unlike Hitchens, doubts their sincerity. And in the end, Berman can't support the administration's war plan, ''because I don't actually know -- I believe that no one actually knows -- what is the actual White House policy.'' So he is left in the familiar position of intellectuals, with an arsenal of ideas and no way to deploy them.

one chilly evening in late November, a panel discussion on Iraq was convened at New York University. The participants were liberal intellectuals, and one by one they framed reasonable arguments against a war in Iraq: inspections need time to work; the Bush doctrine has a dangerous agenda; the history of U.S. involvement in the Middle East is not encouraging. The audience of 150 New Yorkers seemed persuaded.

Then the last panelist spoke. He was an Iraqi dissident named Kanan Makiya, and he said, ''I'm afraid I'm going to strike a discordant note.'' He pointed out that Iraqis, who will pay the highest price in the event of an invasion, ''overwhelmingly want this war.'' He outlined a vision of postwar Iraq as a secular democracy with equal rights for all of its citizens. This vision would be new to the Arab world. ''It can be encouraged, or it can be crushed just like that. But think about what you're doing if you crush it.'' Makiya's voice rose as he came to an end. ''I rest my moral case on the following: if there's a sliver of a chance of it happening, a 5 to 10 percent chance, you have a moral obligation, I say, to do it.''

The effect was electrifying. The room, which just minutes earlier had settled into a sober and comfortable rejection of war, exploded in applause. The other panelists looked startled, and their reasonable arguments suddenly lay deflated on the table before them.

Michael Walzer, who was on the panel, smiled wanly. ''It's very hard to respond,'' he said.

It was hard, I thought, because Makiya had spoken the language beloved by liberal hawks. He had met their hope of avoiding a war with an even greater hope. He had given the people in the room an image of their own ideals...



To: 2MAR$ who wrote (6778)2/10/2003 12:41:30 AM
From: 2MAR$  Respond to of 25898
 
Fearing instability from Iraq war, Saudi rulers explore reforms

By DONNA ABU-NASR, Associated Press Writer

DAMMAM, Saudi Arabia - In the past few months, Saudi Arabia has taken unprecedented steps to encourage debate and explore reforms, signs that the royal family senses change is the best way to protect its rule from the turmoil an Iraqi war may cause.



The government has received a U.N. human rights team and a New York-based Human Rights Watch delegation — the first such visits to the kingdom. Crown Prince Abdullah has come up with a proposal for an upcoming Arab summit that calls for greater political participation by the masses and met recently with 40 Saudi reformers who presented him their vision for change. The kingdom's prison system also is to undergo a major overhaul.

A few years ago, such actions could have been dismissed as an attempt by an absolute monarchy to placate its people with promises of change that would never see light.

But the ruling Al Saud family's worries over the fallout from a U.S.-led war on neighboring Iraq may mean that this time they're serious about reform.

Several reformers who have had a taste of the monarchy's harsher side are confident the changes will come. They say reform is the only way for the royal family to renew its legitimacy and its only protection against two possible consequences of the Iraq crisis : Iraq's disintegration into statelets or its takeover by Muslim extremists.

"This is the last chance for reform. Iraq is just a starting point," said Turki al-Hamad, a writer and one of 104 reformers who signed the document presented to Abdullah. "Saudi Arabia could be the next target since America considers it the cradle of terrorism."

"Ten, 20 years ago, we had the luxury of time. We could choose the kind of reform pace we wanted," added al-Hamad, whose books are banned in Saudi Arabia for their liberal views and sexual content. "Now, we either reform or collapse."

During the 1991 Gulf War (news - web sites), Saudi Arabia was threatened by Iraqi President Saddam Hussein (news - web sites)'s army, which had occupied Kuwait. However, it had its domestic situation under control, and the United States and most of the world were on its side.

This time, the crisis is taking place while the kingdom is under international pressure to crack down on Muslim extremists whose puritanical preaching is blamed by some in the West for influencing the 15 Saudis who took part in the Sept. 11 hijackings. Those same extremists, who adhere to the austere teachings of Muhammad Ibn Abdel-Wahhab, give the Al Saud family legitimacy to rule.

The kingdom, which sits on the world's largest oil reserves, has seen its regional role diminished. The tiny Persian Gulf state of Qatar, for instance, has gained prominence for hosting some of the U.S. forces that will participate in any war against Iraq. Qatar and other some Gulf states already have introduced political reforms.

A post-Saddam breakout of democracy in the region would highlight the lack of freedom in Saudi Arabia: There are no elections, women do not enjoy the same rights as men, speech is muzzled and minorities face discrimination.

The breakup of Iraq with a Shiite statelet on Saudi Arabia's border could stir the kingdom's disgruntled Shiite minority, concentrated in the Eastern Province, which has most of the country's oil.

Abdullah, the country's de facto ruler, is popular even among some anti-royalists because of what many feel is his sincere desire for change. But steering the country toward transparency and accountability has proved difficult partly because of the resistance of those, particularly business interests, benefiting from an opaque system.

The reformers who signed "the vision" say their document is an attempt to rally Saudis around the royal family.

"Whether we like it or not, change will come — from above or below. It's better that it happen from above," said Hajeeb al-Khonaizi, a Shiite writer who attended the two-hour meeting with Abdullah.

Al-Khonaizi said Abdullah "listened very carefully to what was said and gave everyone the chance to talk."

Surprisingly, no women signed the document, which calls for an independent judiciary, the creation of civil and human rights institutions, constitutional reforms, elections to a consultative council and freedom of expression.


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There was only a two-line reference to women in the four-page document, which contains three references to sharia, Islamic law, as the base of their rights.

"Once again, it's the men who decide what women want," said a female intellectual, speaking on condition of anonymity.

The kingdom has also shown some openness to rights groups it long shunned. For the first time it invited the U.N. Commission on Human Rights (news - web sites) to send an envoy and — also for the first time — it accepted a request by an independent rights group to visit.

Dato' Param Cumarswamy, the UNHCR's special rapporteur on the independence of judges and lawyers, visited the kingdom last fall. In January, Human Rights Watch — which had been asking for a visit for 10 years — sent a five-member team.

The Human Rights Watch visit was diplomatic, not substantive, said Steve Crawshaw, the group's London director, who was on the team. Still, he called the visit "a very strong positive sign."

The group emphasized to the Saudis that reform was needed to bring about peaceful change. "To simply keep the lid on and to not change at all potentially gives you the danger of a much greater and more dangerous explosion," he said.

Crawshaw said the group sensed there "was a willingness to address the questions of change," but that the real test would come later: if the group is granted visas to return.

If not, it may show "the country (is) trying to present itself as changing when it's not actually. At the moment we don't feel it's like that."