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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bob Rudd who wrote (16403)2/11/2003 12:40:51 PM
From: - with a K  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 78507
 
Re: CE. Snips from my notes follow.

Graham FV calculation using conservative estimates:
Company: CE
Date: 2/11/03
Current Price: $12.90
2003's expected earnings: $0.82
Estimated 7-10 EPS growth rate: 12
P/E maximum if not 8.5: 15
Graham Fair Value: $22.51
Current Price: $12.90
$ difference: $9.61
Percent Growth to Fair Value: 74.53%

In August, Concord was pressured by quality-of-earnings concerns. According to an article in Barron's, some investors feared that the company used the sale of certain terminals leased to merchants, which it reported as other income, to make up for rising expenses. ("The other income category is a legitimate part of our earnings," said Melinda Mercurio, a Concord spokeswoman.) [Haven't seen anyting on this issue since]

I worry what impact declining consumer spending will have on CE, but perhaps that is already reflected in this low price?

Full Disclosure: I own CE and am considering adding to my position.

- Kris