SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Stockman Scott's Political Debate Porch -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: lurqer who wrote (12844)2/11/2003 10:41:48 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
Lobbying for Peace

by Peter Dreier
The Nation
Posted February 10, 2003

All social movements need an "outside" strategy and an "inside" strategy. The growing number of people participating in rallies and marches in opposition to President George W. Bush's plans to invade Iraq is heartening. The participants in protest events have included large numbers of ordinary Americans with no experience as activists and no ideological ax to grind. They think Bush's war plans are premature or reckless.

But most Americans who oppose Bush's war plans don't show up for these protests. Polls show that since last October, when--under the pressure of the November elections--Congress voted to give Bush the broad authority he asked for to use military force against Iraq, and to act alone if necessary, Americans have become more ambivalent, hesitant and skeptical about going to war with Iraq. In growing numbers, Americans now oppose giving a free hand to a President with an itchy trigger finger. Without an "inside" strategy that gives people more conventional ways to voice their dissent, however, the peace movement will appear smaller and more marginal than it really is.

The street protests, along with petitions, newspaper and TV ads, and bumper stickers, have forced Bush to proceed more slowly than he and his advisers had planned. But ultimately, only Congress can effectively stop the Bush Administration from waging war--directly, by tying Bush's hands, or indirectly, by reflecting the public's mounting aversion to war with Iraq. Antiwar forces have begun to acknowledge this reality by focusing attention on Congress's role and mobilizing support for resolutions to limit Bush's options.

"We have to put up as many obstacles as we can," explained Erik Leaver, a foreign policy expert at the Institute for Policy Studies. "We need to pressure members of Congress to come out against the war. Legislation gives the grassroots something to grasp onto."

The strategy seems to be having an effect. On January 24, as Bush was putting the finishing touches on his State of the Union speech, 129 Democratic members of the House of Representatives--more than a quarter of all members--sent him a letter asking him "to use the opportunity provided in the upcoming State of the Union Address to offer assurances both to the American people and the international community that the United States remains committed to the diplomatic approach and comprehensive inspections process agreed to in the UN Security Council."

The letter, written by Representatives Sherrod Brown of Ohio and Ron Kind of Wisconsin, called on Bush to "sufficiently weigh future decisions regarding Iraq on the assessment" given by the UN weapons inspectors, "including additional inspection time and resources as appropriate." Kind was among the twenty-six signers who had voted for the war resolution last October. These original signers changed their minds as a result of grassroots organizing and public opinion in their districts--an indication that the antiwar movement outside the Beltway is being felt inside it, even though only a few major newspapers published stories about the letter.

Since then, some members of Congress have taken the next step to reassert Congress's authority in the war-making process. Senators Ted Kennedy of Massachusetts and Robert Byrd of West Virginia, and Representatives Pete DeFazio of Oregon and Ron Paul of Texas, have filed resolutions to limit Bush's room for maneuver. The Kennedy/Byrd resolution requires Bush to go back to Congress for approval before using military force in Iraq. The DeFazio/Paul bill--which was filed within hours of Secretary of State Colin Powell's February 4 speech to the UN and immediately drew thirty co-sponsors--repeals last October's use-of-force vote.

(page 2 of 2)

No one expects that all 133 House members and twenty-three senators who voted against the war resolution last October will immediately sign on to these bills. Too many of them--Democrats as well as Republicans--have been intimidated by the Bush Administration's willingness to challenge the patriotism of anyone who opposes its march to war. But the legislation provides the antiwar movement with an organizing tool to reach Americans with a simple message: Write your senator and representative to co-sponsor a resolution to limit Bush's recklessness in getting the country into a war most people don't want.

A piece of legislation makes the stakes clear and forces elected officials to answer the question: Which side are you on? It provides antiwar advocates involved with churches, labor unions and other groups an opportunity to get their organizations to support the bill, their leaders to speak out and their elected representatives to sign on. It provides local activists with a tool to lobby city councils to urge their congresspersons to co-sponsor the legislation. (As of February 5, at least sixty-six city councils in twenty-four states--as well as the Maine State Senate and the Hawaii House of Representatives--had passed antiwar resolutions.) Newspaper columnists and editorial writers will have to take sides.

As the antiwar movement builds momentum, each day the number of Congressional co-sponsors will grow. A steadily increasing groundswell of opposition might even give some of the Democratic Party's presidential hopefuls the backbone to speak out strongly and forcefully against Bush's plans for Iraq, even if they support some aspects of the war on terrorism or some of Bush's other foreign policy goals.

The initial leaders of today's antiwar movement were schooled in the politics of street protest. They skillfully used the Internet to mobilize large public demonstrations that attracted many middle-of-the-road Americans who view Bush's war plans as reckless. In growing numbers, people are adding their names (and contributions) to newspaper ads and petitions. A month ago these were primarily longtime peace activists and intellectuals, but as the national mood has turned more skeptical of Bush's plans, a broader range of people have been willing to put their names on these ads and petitions and join street protests.

Peace activists have also been behind other creative tactics, including last month's full-page letter in the Wall Street Journal, "A Republican Dissent on Iraq," supported by business executives, and the thirty-second soundbites starring actress Susan Sarandon and former US Ambassador to Iraq Ed Peck with the message: "Why rush into war? Let the inspections work," sponsored by www.truemajority.com, a group started by Ben & Jerry's founder Ben Cohen.

The protests, rallies and ads should continue, but their target and message should now be aimed not only at Bush but also at getting Congress to tie Bush's hands. Unless the antiwar movement can reach out beyond those willing to march in the streets, and provide people with more conventional ways to express their concern and outrage, it will fail to fulfill its potential to galvanize much of Middle America, which doesn't trust Bush's eagerness to put American soldiers and tax dollars in harm's way on behalf of his holy crusade.

__________________________________________

Peter Dreier, the E.P. Clapp Distinguished Professor of Politics at Occidental College in Los Angeles, is co-author of Place Matters: Metropolitics for the 21st Century.

thenation.com



To: lurqer who wrote (12844)2/11/2003 11:03:59 PM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
Single-minded simple-mindedness

By Ehsan Ahrari
COMMENTARY
Asia Times Online
Feb 12, 2003

In the aftermath of the September 11 attacks, many journalists and commentators have made a career out of attempting to find the answer to the burning question of the era: "Why do they hate us?" But as much as I have tried to understand growing anti-Americanism worldwide, I must admit that I am troubled by the attempts of some to locate the center of anti-Americanism in the Muslim world. I believe the attempt to be condescending - unwittingly, perhaps, but condescending nevertheless - and often permeated by simplistic extrapolations.

At the outset, let me establish a number of premises underlying my arguments. I love the United States. This is my chosen home. The world of Islam is a part of me, since I am a product of it. So, I know something about both worlds. I believe that the American promise of democracy, equality, and technological achievement is an alternative that Muslim masses must consider emulating, while they are struggling in their own idiosyncratic ways to overthrow the unjust, anachronistic and despotic rulers in their respective countries. In this sense, I share and endorse wholeheartedly the common criticisms of the Islamic societies. I also share Americans' enthusiasm for democracy for the world of Islam, even though I envision a type of democracy that is more reflective and representative of the socio-political realities of those regions.

At the same time, however, I do not believe that Osama bin Ladin represents anything about the world of Islam, except that he claims to be a representative of the Wahhabi puritanical creed. I believe that the Wahhabi creed is in dire need of revisiting and debate by a whole slew of Muslim scholars who also know something about, and wholeheartedly believe in, the principle of tajdeed (reinterpretation or reform).

There is little doubt that Wahhabi Saudi schools and their counterparts in Pakistan have been perpetuating the militant notion of jihad. Since the implosion of the "godless" Soviet Union, the United States has become a focus of their criticism and activities. Undoubtedly, the autocratic Muslim regimes have turned a blind eye to the anti-Western teachings of these schools. But the fact is that anti-Westernism is not a recent phenomenon of the Islamic (indeed, Third World) countries. The end of the Cold War produced two highly contentious theses in the West - "the end of ideology" authored by Francis Fukuyama and "the clash of civilizations" thesis of Samuel Huntington. Put simply, Fukuyama's argument was that, with the implosion of the Soviet Union and the defeat of communism, there were no more battles left or victories to win by Western liberal secular democracy. By implication, all the remaining ideologies had the choice of either being radically altered in order to accommodate the Western liberal democratic tradition, or be subsumed under its rising tide.

For Islamists, this was an offensive proposition, for they also were convinced about the ultimate truth and eternal correctness of their religion.

For Huntington, the post-Cold War struggle may best be described as a clash between Islam, which he described as "militant" and "aggressive", and the West. This reductionistic point of view was just that: a point of view of a social scientist who never studied Islam as a theology, but was too eager to draw wrong conclusions after selectively looking at a few politico-social patterns. He never drew such a wrong-headed conclusion about Christianity, even though it can be argued that its followers were responsible, most recently, for two world wars, resulting in millions of deaths. It is true that a lot of violence has been perpetrated in the name of Islam, but quite a bit of such "evidence" can also be used to similarly malign Christianity. However, in the West, all those who had similar intellectual leanings, to start with, accepted the Huntingtonian argument as "fact".

Combine Fukuyama's thesis with Huntington's clash of civilization thesis, which was seen all over the Islamic world as grotesquely anti-Islamic, and you will begin to realize how the world looked from the other side. Islamist groups became focused most intently on Huntington's highly publicized thesis, in order to make their own point about the "anti-Islamic" and "Islamophobic" character of the West in general, and especially that of the United States. So, reasons for anti-Westernism or anti-Americanism in the world are more diverse and complex, and are not limited to the role of Wahhabi schools, the Saudi- funded charities, or the presence of authoritarian rule in almost all Muslim countries, even though those variables definitely made their contributions to it.

Unlike commentators who persistently claim that Muslims formulate the predominant group that is swept by anti-Americanism, I believe that anti-Americanism is an across-the-board phenomenon of contemporary world affairs. As regrettable as it has been, it reflects a number of realities involving the United States.

First and foremost, as the most powerful military nation in the world, one that often uses morality as one of the primary driving forces for its foreign and defense policy, the US has become the focal point of attention, scrutiny and criticism worldwide by those who seem to think that the practice of double standards is okay by the rest of the world, but not by the US.

Second, the Bush administration's unflinching practice of unilateralism has created an ample pool of resentment toward it, especially in Europe, where the chief driving forces behind the emerging new superstate - ie, the European Union - are heavy reliance on international law, cooperative diplomacy and multilateralism. It has been argued by some (Robert Kagan, among others) that powerful nations frequently behave as if they are living in Mr Hobbes' neighborhood rather than in Mr Rogers' (a popular children's educational TV series in the United States).

Third, the September 11 attacks, and the United States' preference for militaristic solutions to the scourge of global terrorism, has become one more reason why that approach is regarded in many corners of the world as overly uni-dimensional and simplistic.

Fourth, while post-Taliban Afghanistan lingers on as a basket case, the US, instead of rebuilding it as a peaceful and economically prosperous place, has become focused on similarly dismantling the current regime in Iraq, and then moving on to other more pressing strategic priorities that would then emerge. There is fear in the areas contiguous to Iraq that, like the post-Taliban Afghanistan, the post-Saddam Iraq would continue to be a place of enormous human suffering, thereby giving birth to even worse tyrants and terrorists than Saddam and bin Ladin.

More to the point, anti-Americanism is not limited to the world of Islam. Why, for example, were so many protestors demonstrating against the US in Davos, Switzerland, during the meeting of the World Economic Forum this past January? I am sure most of those protestors were not Muslims.

My advice, then, to those who would pronounce simple verdicts on the "Islamic world" is the same that I would give myself regarding complex topics: do your research, visit the area, talk to people, and when you write, remember that the Middle East is a land familiar with the terrible consequences that come from making simple miscalculations about others' feelings and intentions. For a shining example of this phenomenon, one need look no further than Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini and Saddam Hussein just before the initiation of the Iran-Iraq war of 1981. Or the United States just before the first Gulf War in 1991. In the final analysis, the Middle East has a special way of making all of us eat humble pie.

_____________________________________________________

Ehsan Ahrari, PhD, is an Alexandria, Virginia, US-based independent strategic analyst.

©2003 Asia Times Online Co, Ltd.

atimes.com



To: lurqer who wrote (12844)2/11/2003 11:14:22 PM
From: Jim Willie CB  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 89467
 
favor: need to confirm, correct some big numbers in article

got this article that is 99% done
"The Gold Volcano: 15 Roads Merge Golden Lava"
catchy title, eh?
it discusses many very large capital pools that are or will soon move in a big way into gold
I personally think this far outshines the first article
"25 Reasons Why Gold Will Rise"

but have several sizes that I cannot easily verify
many of you guys are real hounds
I was wondering if someone could help me
some might be on the tip of your tongue, or at easy reach
if you guys help, I will be grateful

could you confirm or correct with definite numbers ???

here they are, with my guesses or known numbers:

US Trez Bonds, Notes, Bills (known $6.4T)
European Bonds (wild guess $3.5T)
US Corporate Bonds (guess $6T)
US Stock Market (guess $5T)
US real estate size (guess $11T)
US Mortgage Backed Bonds (wild guess $3T)
US Pension Funds, managed & unmanaged (guess $4T)
Hedge Funds worldwide (silly wild $200 billion)
US Money Supply MZM (known $8.5T)
US Gold Reserves (known 260 million oz)
Japanese Savings (known $11T)
Chinese US Trez holdings (silly guess $350 billion) -- I think this is wrong
Chinese trade surplus (good guess $6 billion per month)
Russian Central Bank reserves (known $55B)
Arab, OPEC, Persian Gulf, Oil Imports (got it)

any help would be very appreciated, but not depreciated
thanku vermuch
much appreciated
solid numbers adds to the impact of article on capital pools
/ jim



To: lurqer who wrote (12844)2/12/2003 1:23:02 AM
From: stockman_scott  Respond to of 89467
 
The French should be heard, not vilified

An argument between allies has been turned into a parody of the worst kind of dirty US primary campaign

By John Lichfield
The Independent
12 February 2003

It's better to be a "cheese-eating surrender monkey" than a "peanut-butter scoffing, gun-totin', thousand-pound gorilla".

That is the problem with insults. They immobilise rational argument; they force you to respond with insults. The buckets of foul invective poured over the French – "surrender monkeys", "wimps", "rats", "weasels" – in the American and British press in recent days are no longer a distraction from the problem of the Iraqi crisis. They are the problem.

The insults may have been carried to inventive heights by the American right-wing, but they began with the US Defence Secretary, Donald Rumsfeld, and his jibe against "old Europe". What could have been a political and diplomatic argument between allies – with some right on both sides – has been turned into a parody of the worst kind of dirty US primary campaign. Opponents are not just opposed, they are vilified; they are destroyed by association with straw villains (in France and Germany's case, anti-Semitism and Nazism).

This is not the sole reason why France will refuse to toe the American line in the UN security council next week – but it is one of the reasons. President Jacques Chirac seemed to many observers to be leaving his options open last week. No longer. It would now be politically suicidal for him to seem to bow to the will of the US – a country that, in the name of democracy, refuses to tolerate dissent among its friends.

The transatlantic alliance is threatened with collapse not because three countries (France, Germany and Belgium) refuse to go along with America's war planning. There have been more fundamental disagreements in Nato, such as De Gaulle's defection from the military wing in the 1960s. And yet this is clearly the most terrible row in Nato's history. The alliance is in danger because the temperature of the argument has been deliberately raised to a destructive level.

It did not have to be so. Just take a step back a moment.

The US believes that, after 12 years of procrastination, Saddam Hussein must be stripped of his weapons of mass destruction immediately, by armed intervention. Washington argues, with some reason, that United Nations weapons inspections have been tried and have failed, and that Iraq can never be trusted while Saddam is in power. France believes that Saddam should be disarmed but that there is no overriding case to justify a war that could kill thousands of innocent people and compound the terrorism-breeding hatred of the West in the Islamic world.

The majority of European Union and Nato governments agree with the United States. Does that put France out on some cynical, self-serving, cowardly, anti-Semitic, cheese-eating limb? Hardly.

The French viewpoint is shared by the vast majority of public opinion in all European countries, including Britain. It is endorsed by the majority on the UN Security Council. It is shared, almost word for word, by the Secretary General of the UN, Kofi Annan. It is even accepted by 40 to 50 per cent of public opinion in the US itself. The French may be wrong. They may be right. The point is that they have a rational and valid argument, which deserves to be heard, not vilified.

Behind, the immediate arguments over Iraq, France has deeper concerns – about the US. It may be true that, as a judge of America, France is an unreliable witness, or at least a persistent critic. It may be that France has selfish reasons (as a permanent member of the Security Council) to wish to preserve the post-war consensus that the United Nations is the best guarantor of semi-civilised behaviour.

However, it is not the French alone who have been – or should be – alarmed by the "Dubya doctrine" of America's proper role in the world post-11 September. President Bush does not argue that might is right. He argues that America has overwhelming might and that it is always right, because it is America. If the UN Security Council is to survive at all, it must survive in the post 9/11 world, as a kind of international supreme soviet, whose duty is to endorse the American view. Ditto Nato.

You do not have to be an Americophobe (I lived in the US happily for five years; my son has an American passport) to find this approach scary. I believe that many people in America also find it scary. I believe that the British Government finds it just as scary as the French. The vicious moral absolutism of the attacks on friendly opponents proves how scary it is.

Tony Blair seems to believe that the best way to control the gun-totin' thousand-pound gorilla is to ride on its back. The French have tried coaxing and distracting the gorilla. Neither approach has worked. Nato lies in ruins. The UN may be next. And the war has not even started yet.

argument.independent.co.uk