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Politics : High Tolerance Plasticity -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Gottfried who wrote (18867)	2/13/2003 12:44:31 PM
From: kodiak_bull	Read Replies (3) \| Respond to of 23153

Always good to check on the VIX in these days of confusion. Nope, the VIX ain't confused, it's up over 40 again, which used to be high. Not any more. I expect this one to spike well into the 50s before we're done. "Get your kicks on VIX 66?"???? The INDU is now down to the 7660 level, about to take out the July 02 lows and take aim at the October 02 lows (7197.50). Dollars to donuts says we end up this spring at an unhappy sounding 6660?? The SPX is doing the same. Nota bene how systematic these two indices are in approaching (and then breaching, I believe) these previous July and October lows. The candlesticks are much more uniform, and the ratcheting down motion is almost mechanical. Look back to May of last year to see the regular drumbeat as the stocks fell, then they were followed by some very nasty plunges (plunges which weren't quite so pronounced in October, for some reason). Anyway, prediction: SPX 665 or lower this time. Naz: will this time bring the Nazacre? Very hard to say. The Naz has been punished so much. A capitulation will take us below 1100, but how far below is beyond me. So much depends on the terror the shareholders finally feel about equities. For a long time I felt a Naz 900 was in the cards, and each time it stopped short of where I thought it would go. Still possible, and I guess I still think it's still probable. VIX at 40.18 and rising. Kb

To: Gottfried who wrote (18867)	2/13/2003 7:34:51 PM
From: Gottfried	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 23153

bpNDX dropped four to 32% [BBBY, PDGO, TEVA and TLAB] Jan29 Jan30 Jan31 Feb03 Feb04 Feb05 Feb06 Feb07 Feb10 Feb11 Feb12 Feb13 AAPL ADBE AAPL AMGN ADBE AMZN AMGN AAPL AAPL APCC AMZN ADBE ADBE AAPL APOL APCC AMGN AMGN AAPL ADBE BBBY APOL AMZN AMZN ADBE AMGN AAPL BEAS BBBY APCC APCC AMGN AMZN ADBE BMET BEAS APOL APOL AMZN APCC AMGN CHIR BMET BBBY BBBY APCC APOL AMZN CHRW CHIR BEAS BEAS APOL BBBY APCC CIEN CHRW BMET BMET BBBY BEAS APOL AAPL CMCSA CIEN CHIR CHIR BEAS BMET BBBY ADBE AAPL AAPL CMVT CMCSA CHRW CHRW BMET CHRW BMET AMGN ADBE ADBE AAPL CSCO CMVT CIEN CIEN CHRW CIEN CHRW AMZN AMGN AMGN ADBE CTXS CSCO CMCSA CMCSA CIEN CMCSA CIEN APCC AMZN AMZN AMGN DELL CTXS CMVT CMVT CMCSA CMVT CMCSA APOL APCC APCC AMZN DISH DELL CSCO CSCO CMVT CSCO CMVT BBBY APOL APOL APCC AAPL EBAY DISH CTXS CTXS CSCO CTXS CSCO BMET BBBY BBBY APOL ADBE ERICY EBAY DELL DELL CTXS DELL DELL CHRW BMET BMET BBBY AMGN EXPD ERICY DISH DISH DELL DISH DISH CMCSA CHRW CHRW BMET AMZN FAST EXPD ERICY EBAY DISH EBAY EBAY CSCO CMCSA CMCSA CHRW APCC FISV FAST ESRX ERICY EBAY ERICY ERICY DISH CSCO CSCO CMCSA APOL GENZ GENZ EXPD ESRX ERICY ESRX ESRX ERICY DISH DISH CSCO BMET IDPH IDPH FAST EXPD ESRX EXPD EXPD ESRX ERICY ERICY DISH CHRW JDSU JDSU GENZ FAST EXPD FAST FAST EXPD ESRX ESRX ERICY CMCSA JNPR JNPR IDPH GENZ FAST GENZ GENZ FAST EXPD EXPD ESRX CSCO LAMR LAMR JDSU IDPH GENZ JDSU JDSU GENZ FAST FAST EXPD DISH MEDI MEDI JNPR JDSU JDSU JNPR JNPR JDSU GENZ GENZ FAST ERICY MERQ MERQ LAMR JNPR JNPR LAMR LAMR JNPR JDSU JDSU GENZ ESRX MLNM MLNM MEDI LAMR LAMR MEDI MEDI LAMR JNPR JNPR JDSU EXPD NTAP NTAP MERQ MEDI MEDI MERQ MERQ MEDI MEDI MEDI JNPR FAST NXTL NXTL MLNM MERQ MERQ NTAP NTAP MERQ MERQ MERQ MEDI GENZ ORCL ORCL NTAP NTAP NTAP NXTL NXTL NTAP NTAP NTAP MERQ JDSU PDCO PDCO NXTL NXTL NXTL ORCL ORCL NXTL NXTL NXTL NTAP JNPR PIXR PIXR ORCL ORCL ORCL PCAR PCAR ORCL ORCL ORCL NXTL MEDI PTEN PTEN PDCO PDCO PDCO PDCO PDCO PCAR PCAR PCAR ORCL MERQ QLGC QLGC PIXR PIXR PIXR PIXR PIXR PDCO PDCO PDCO PCAR NTAP SANM SANM PTEN PTEN PTEN PTEN PTEN PTEN PTEN PTEN PDCO NXTL SBUX SBUX SANM SANM SANM SANM SANM SANM SANM SANM PTEN ORCL SEBL SEBL SBUX SBUX SBUX SBUX SBUX SBUX SBUX SBUX SANM PCAR SSCC SSCC SEBL SEBL SEBL SEBL SEBL SEBL SEBL SEBL SBUX PTEN SYMC SYMC SSCC SSCC SSCC SSCC SSCC SSCC SSCC SSCC SEBL SANM TEVA TEVA SYMC SYMC SYMC SYMC SYMC SYMC SYMC SYMC SSCC SBUX TLAB TLAB TEVA TEVA TEVA TEVA TEVA TEVA TEVA TEVA SYMC SEBL USAI USAI TLAB TLAB TLAB TLAB TLAB TLAB TLAB TLAB TEVA SSCC VRSN VRSN USAI USAI USAI USAI USAI USAI USAI USAI TLAB SYMC XLNX XLNX VRSN VRSN VRSN VRSN VRSN VRSN VRSN VRSN USAI USAI YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO YHOO