SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Dutch Central Bank Sale Announcement Imminent? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Alan Whirlwind who wrote (17191)2/14/2003 2:26:47 PM
From: sea_urchin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 81234
 
Al >My basket is still positive, suggesting to me the last $10 move down is temporary.

There could another explanation --- namely that the gold shares are cheap in comparison to the gold price.

Let's compare Goldbug Index (HUI) with POG. The chart (below) shows that the HUI has fallen, since early January, from 152 to 135 (-11%). During this time POG went up from $350 to $380+ and back to $350 again. Notwithstanding the volatility in the gold price, the argument is that the HUI is still cheap by comparison to the gold price.


stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyiay[dc][pb50!d20,2][vc60][ill14!le12,26,9]

quotes.ino.com

Thus others would contend that, because the gold shares are cheap in comparison to the gold price, notwithstanding that the gold price has fallen, the gold shares are in fact predicting that the gold price is due for a further fall rather than a rise.

On the other hand, you could be right! Observing the impact between the gold price and its lower Bollinger Band gives the impression that the gold price may have hit a temporary low.

stockcharts.com[h,a]daclyiay[dc][pb50!d20,2][vc60][ill14!le12,26,9]