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To: foundation who wrote (5795)2/17/2003 10:57:09 AM
From: foundation  Respond to of 12248
 
The '50-Years War'?

Posted: February 17, 2003
Patrick J Buchanan


WASHINGTON, D.C. – "May your enemies live in
interesting times," runs the old Chinese saying.
Our times become more interesting by the day.

On the South Capitol Street Bridge here sits an
Avenger anti-aircraft missile battery prepared to
shoot down any private plane or commercial
airliner that appears about to crash into the
Capitol.

Area residents are being urged to buy three days
of dry food and bottled water, and duct tape to
seal off one room, to survive a chemical, biological
or radiological ("dirty bomb") attack on D.C.

The terror color code has been raised to orange,
representing a heightened threat of attack. There
is only one higher level, red.

As the CIA director testifies to Congress that we
could face a terror attack by this weekend, Osama
bin Laden has released an audiotape urging
Muslims to launch suicide attacks on Americans
and pro-American regimes in Morocco, Jordan,
Yemen, Pakistan, Nigeria and Saudi Arabia.
Expressing his contempt for the "socialist" and
infidel regime of Saddam Hussein, Osama
nevertheless calls on all Muslims to fight America
in the coming Iraqi war.

A question arises: If Osama believes, as he
apparently does from this tape, that a U.S.
invasion of Iraq is a glorious opportunity to rally
Muslims from Morocco to Malaysia to start a jihad
against "crusaders" and "Jews," can such a war
also be in the interests of the United States?

The other day, I interviewed a terrorism expert.
How long, I asked, will we have to live with these
terror alerts, and will the coming war on Iraq
make us more or less secure from terrorism?

His answer? In the short run, the war will make
us less secure. In the long run, disarming Iraq will
deny terrorists access to at least some weapons of
mass destruction. But we must expect to live with
terror alerts for the rest of our lives, he said, as this
war will last as long as the Cold War itself.

It is remarkable how complacent Americans seem
to be, as our freedoms are gradually restricted,
and more and more power and wealth flow to Big
Government to protect us from terrorists.

Rarely is the most fundamental question asked
that we ask about all of America's wars: What
was the cause of the war?

In the splendid new film "Gods and Generals,"
Robert E. Lee and "Stonewall" Jackson are
portrayed as Virginia patriots who fought to
defend their state from an invading army and to
be free of a Union that would make war on their
kinfolk, just as their forefathers had fought the
British Army to be free of England. Union patriot
Joshua Chamberlain tells his brother they are
fighting in Virginia for the idea that men shall no
longer be enslaved in these United States.

But in this war on terror, what are we fighting
for?

The simple answer is that we are fighting to be
free of terror. President Bush ordered the invasion
of Afghanistan to overthrow the Taliban that had
given sanctuary to Osama and his al-Qaida
network that had planned Sept. 11, and to kill
them or scatter them to the four corners of the
earth.

And what are they, the terrorists, fighting for?

Here the answers becomes murky. We say the
terrorists hate us because we are free, democratic,
prosperous and good – i.e., they hate us for our
virtues. But what reasons do the terrorists give for
hating and attacking us?

Osama says we are "crusaders" who have
vassalized Arab countries and corrupted Islamic
peoples with our decadent culture, that our
soldiers defile their holiest lands, that we persecute
the Iraqis with savage sanctions, and help the
Israelis rob Palestinians of their land and freedom.
And they are willing to die to drive us out of their
countries, their region and their world, as they
died to drive the Russians out of Afghanistan.

Now, for his crimes, Osama deserves death. But is
he telling the truth about why he and his followers
hate, attack and kill us?

What makes these questions relevant is that we
are facing a second Cold War, which is going to
cost us heavily in our freedoms. And great
majorities of Arab and Islamic peoples seem to
share bin Laden's detestation of our policies and
our presence in their world.

If 9-11 was the opening shot in America's 50-Year
War on Terror, what will history say was the
cause? That America was attacked because we
were free, or that Islamic jihadists attacked us to
drive us out of their world? Have we no choice but
to drink from this bitter cup for the next half
century, or can this be war on terror be averted,
consistent with America's honor, freedom and
security?

Is it too late to avert this 50-year war?

wnd.com



To: foundation who wrote (5795)2/17/2003 4:18:34 PM
From: foundation  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12248
 
An Army of One?

In the war on terrorism, alliances are not an obstacle to victory. They're the key to it.

By Gen. Wesley Clark
September 2002

A few days after September 11, I happened to be walking the halls of the Pentagon, the
scene of so many contentious meetings during my years as commander of NATO forces in
Europe, and ran into an old acquaintance, now a senior official.

We chatted briefly about TV coverage of the crisis and the impending operations in
Afghanistan. At his invitation, I began to share some thoughts about how we had waged
the Kosovo war by working within NATO--but he cut me off. "We read your book," he
scoffed. "And no one is going to tell us where we can or can't bomb."

That was exactly how the United States proceeded. Of course, the campaign in
Afghanistan, as it unfolded, wasn't an all-American show. The United States sought and
won help from an array of countries: basing rights in Central Asian states and in Pakistan;
some shared intelligence from Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and other Muslim states; diplomatic
backing from Russia and China; air and naval support from France; naval refueling from
Japan; special forces from the United Kingdom, and so on.

But unlike the Kosovo campaign, where NATO provided a structured consultation and
consensus-shaping process, allied support in this war took the form of a "floating" or
"flexible" coalition. Countries supported the United States in the manner and to the extent
they felt possible, but without any pretenses of sharing in major decisions. European
leaders sought to be more involved. At the Europeans' urging, NATO even
declared--invoking, for the first time, Article V of its founding treaty--that the attack on the
United States represented an attack on every member. But even so, Washington bypassed
and essentially marginalized the alliance. The United Nations was similarly sidelined.

The first weeks of the Afghanistan campaign against the Taliban went well--an outcome
that didn't surprise anyone who has had the honor to exercise command over these
magnificent outfits. But the early successes seem to have reinforced the conviction of
some within the U.S. government that the continuing war against terrorism is best waged
outside the structures of international institutions--that American leadership must be
"unfettered." This is a fundamental misjudgment. The longer this war goes on--and by all
accounts, it will go on for years--the more our success will depend on the willing
cooperation and active participation of our allies to root out terrorist cells in Europe and
Asia, to cut off funding and support of terrorists and to deal with Saddam Hussein and
other threats. We are far more likely to gain the support we need by working through
international institutions than outside of them. We've got a problem here: Because the Bush
administration has thus far refused to engage our allies through NATO, we are fighting the
war on terrorism with one hand tied behind our back.

All Together Now

That day at the Pentagon, the senior official and I never had the opportunity to complete
the discussion. But it was clear that he had totally misread the lessons of the Kosovo
campaign. NATO wasn't an obstacle to victory in Kosovo; it was the reason for our
victory. For 78 days in the spring of 1999, the alliance battled to halt the ethnic cleansing of
Kosovo's Albanians being carried out by the predominantly Serb troops and government of
then-President Slobodan Milosevic. It was the first actual war NATO had fought in its
50-year history. Like the U.S. war in Afghanistan, it was predominantly an air campaign
(though the threat of a ground attack, I believe, proved decisive). America provided the
leadership, the target nominations, and almost all of the precision strikes. Still, it was very
much a NATO war. Allied countries flew some 60 percent of the sorties. Because it was
a NATO campaign, each bomb dropped represented a target that had been approved, at
least in theory, by each of the alliance's 19 governments. Much of my time as allied
commander was spent with various European defense officials, walking them through
proposed targets and the reasoning behind them. Sometimes there were disagreements and
occasionally we had to modify those lists to take into account the different countries'
political concerns and military judgements. For all of us involved--the president, secretaries
of state and defense, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs, and me--it was a time-consuming
and sometimes frustrating process. But in the end, this was the decisive process for
success, because whatever we lost in theoretical military effectiveness we gained
manyfold in actual strategic impact by having every NATO nation on board.

NATO itself acted as a consensus engine for its members. Because it acts on the basis of
such broad agreement, every decision is an opportunity for members to dissent--therefore,
every decision generates pressure to agree. Greece, for example, never opposed a NATO
action, though its electorate strongly opposed the war and the Greek government tried in
other ways to maintain an acceptable "distance" from NATO military actions. This process
evokes leadership from the stronger states and pulls the others along.

Of course, this wasn't a pleasant experience for any of the participants. For U.S. leaders
during the war, it meant continuing dialogue, frictions, and occasional hard exchanges with
some allies to get them on board. For some European leaders, the experience must have
been the reverse: a continuing pressure from the United States to approve actions--to strike
targets--that would generate domestic criticism at home. There was no escaping the fact
that this was every government's war, that they were intrinsically part of the operation, and
each was, ultimately, liable to be held accountable by its voters for the outcome.

In the darkest days before the NATO 50th anniversary summit in late April in Washington,
British Prime Minister Tony Blair came to our headquarters in Belgium on very short
notice. To be honest, it wasn't altogether clear why he was coming. But as he and I sat
alone in my office, it quickly became apparent. "Are we going to win?" he asked me. "Will
we win with an air campaign alone? Will you get ground troops if you need them?" Blair
made it very clear that the future of every government in Western Europe, including his
own, depended on a successful outcome of the war. Therefore, he was going to do
everything it took to succeed. No stopping halfway. No halfheartedness.

That was the real lesson of the Kosovo campaign at the highest level: NATO worked. It
held political leaders accountable to their electorates. It made an American-dominated
effort essentially their effort. It made an American-led success their success. And,
because an American-led failure would have been their failure, these leaders became
determined to prevail. NATO not only generated consensus, it also generated an incredible
capacity to alter public perceptions, enabling countries with even minimal capacities to
participate collectively in the war. As one minister of defense told me afterwards, "Before
Kosovo, you couldn't use the word 'war' in my country. War meant defeat, destruction,
death, and occupation. Now it is different. We have won one!"

Squeezing Slobodan

Milosevic was hoping the alliance would crack and the bombing campaign would fall apart.
Instead, NATO's determination increased over time and the bombing intensified. He was
hoping that neighboring countries, such as Bulgaria and Romania, would not cooperate with
the West, and indeed, large majorities of their citizens initially opposed the war. But the
power of NATO extended even to these countries, which at that point were non-members.
We simply made clear to their leaders that if they wanted to be considered for eventual
membership in NATO--and they did, very much--then they'd have to help us against
Milosevic, which they did, quickly. Faced with this remarkable unity of effort and
determination, even the Russians, who strongly sympathized with the Serbs, also
abandoned Milosevic in the end.

Other international institutions helped us tighten the noose. The United States acted under
the authority of U.N. Security Council Resolution 1199, passed in the autumn of 1998, and
authorizing all available means to deal with the humanitarian crisis in Kosovo--language
which helped give our military intervention international legal and moral authority. The
threat against Milosevic of war criminal charges was additional leverage. When the
International Criminal Tribunal indicted Milosevic for war crimes on May 25, 1999, the
resolve of our European allies notably stiffened--a fact that today's domestic opponents of
the international court should keep in mind.

In the end, NATO achieved every one of its aims. With the air war intensifying, a ground
invasion being prepared, and no other country to turn to for help, Milosevic in early June
pulled his troops, police, and weaponry out of Kosovo. A NATO-led international
peacekeeping force entered to establish order. Nearly a million Kosovars returned to their
homes. Weakened by his defeat, Milosevic lost an election he had tried to rig in his favor.
When he still refused to cede power, a student-led uprising did the job for him. Milosevic is
now behind bars at The Hague and is being tried as a war criminal. Though Serbia and
Kosovo are still struggling with the aftermath of ethnic conflict and autocratic leadership,
they are now governed by democratically elected leaders eager for good relations with the
West. All this was achieved at a remarkably slight cost, minimal destruction on the ground,
no NATO casualties, and relatively few civilian deaths despite the use of some 23,000
bombs and missiles.

What caused this outcome was not just the weapons of war. Forces far beyond the bombs
and bullets were at work: the weight of international diplomacy; the impact of international
law; and the "consensus-engine" of NATO, which kept all the Allies in the fight. The
lesson of Kosovo is that international institutions and alliances are really another form of
power. They have their limitations and can require a lot of maintenance. But used
effectively, they can be strategically decisive.

Bin Laden, War Criminal

The Kosovo campaign suggests alternatives in waging and winning the struggle against
terrorism: greater reliance on diplomacy and law and relatively less on the military alone.
Soon after September 11, without surrendering our right of self defense, we should have
helped the United Nations create an International Criminal Tribunal on International
Terrorism. We could have taken advantage of the outpourings of shock, grief, and
sympathy to forge a legal definition of terrorism and obtain the indictment of Osama bin
Laden and the Taliban as war criminals charged with crimes against humanity. Had we
done so, I believe we would have had greater legitimacy and won stronger support in the
Islamic world. We could have used the increased legitimacy to raise pressure on Saudi
Arabia and other Arab states to cut off fully the moral, religious, intellectual, and financial
support to terrorism. We could have used such legitimacy to strengthen the international
coalition against Saddam Hussein. Or to encourage our European allies and others to
condemn more strongly the use of terror against Israel and bring peace to that region.
Reliance on a compelling U.N. indictment might have given us the edge in legitimacy
throughout much of the Islamic world that no amount of "strategic information" and spin
control can provide. On a purely practical level, we might have avoided the embarrassing
arguments during the encirclement of Kandahar in early December 2001, when the
appointed Afghan leader wanted to offer the Taliban leader amnesty, asking what law he
had broken, while the United States insisted that none should be granted. We might have
avoided the continuing difficulties of maintaining hundreds of prisoners in a legal no-man's
land at Guantanamo Bay, which has undercut U.S. legitimacy in the eyes of much of the
world.

Instead of cutting NATO out, we should have prosecuted the Afghan campaign with
NATO, as we did in Kosovo. Of course, it would have been difficult to involve our allies
early on, when we ourselves didn't know what we wanted to do, or how to achieve it. The
dialogue and discussions would have been vexing. But in the end, we could have kept
NATO involved without surrendering to others the design of the campaign. We could have
simply phased the operation and turned over what had begun as a U.S.-only effort to a
NATO mission, under U.S. leadership.

Even winning European approval of the air campaign need not have proved troublesome.
The most serious difficulties we had in garnering European support for the Kosovo air
campaign concerned bombing the so-called "dual-use" targets: bridges, power stations, TV
towers, and government buildings in Belgrade. The United States believed such attacks
were crucial to breaking Milosevic's ability to wage war. The Europeans, deeply concerned
about potential civilian casualties, preferred to hit Yugoslav military targets in Kosovo. In
the end, we bombed both. But a similar disagreement in Afghanistan between the United
States and Europeans would have been highly unlikely, for the simple reason that the
American bombing campaign focused exclusively on military targets. The United States
concentrated its firepower on Taliban and al Qaeda troops, hideouts, and weapons
stores--precisely the kinds of targets the Europeans were most likely to have approved.

Sleepers in Seattle

NATO involvement would probably not have hastened our victory in Afghanistan. But had
the Afghan campaign been waged with NATO, I believe we would have been in a
stronger position to stay the course in Afghanistan and prosecute the coming stages of the
war.

As the president himself has warned, the struggle against terror requires far more than
exclusively military actions. Indeed, as time goes on, the most important aspect of the war
may be in law enforcement and judicial activities. Much of the terrorist network draws
support and resources from within countries friendly or allied with us. Terrorists residing in
Western Europe planned the September 11 attack, and the greatest concentration of their
"sleeper cells" outside the Middle East is probably in Europe. Yet this is a threat that the
American military can do little to combat. What we really need is closer alignment of our
police and judicial activities with our friends and allies: greater cooperation in joint police
investigations, sharing of evidence, harmonious evidentiary standards and procedures, as
well as common definitions of crimes associated with terrorism. Through greater legal,
judicial, and police coordination, we need to make the international environment more
seamless for us than it is for the international terrorists we seek.

U.S. officials inevitably say that they are getting "good cooperation" from their European
counterparts. They say the same, however, about countries like Saudi Arabia, where we
know cooperation is minimal at best. Even with the limited information publicly available,
it's clear that the police and judicial measures taken to detect, identify, track, detain,
interrogate, arrest, charge, convict, and punish terrorists and their accomplices within
friendly countries have thus far been less than fully successful. Since last fall, European
governments have arrested, then released, numerous suspected terrorists whom the U.S.
government would undoubtedly have preferred to see kept behind bars. In April, for
instance, Spanish police arrested a Syrian-born al Qaeda suspect, but let him go, citing a
lack of evidence. Yet, at the time of his arrest, he had in his possession hours of videotape
of the World Trade Center from every conceivable angle, plus similar surveillance images
of other planned al Qaeda targets such as Disney World. Fortunately, the Spanish police
rearrested the man in July. But that same month, British courts released an Egyptian
wanted in the United States for allegedly aiding a top terrorist leader.

The full cooperation we seek is unlikely without an overall consensus-building mechanism,
like NATO, to drive the process. It is hard enough getting the CIA and FBI to share
information, even when both answer (in theory) to the president and Congress. Imagine
how difficult it is to get cooperation among various U.S. agencies and their counterparts
working bilaterally with 20 different European countries, when each agency is competing
with others.

The longer the war goes on, the more we are going to need cooperation and support from
other nations--not just troops and ships and airplanes, but whole-hearted governmental
collaboration. Instead, we seem to be getting less as time goes on. After September 11, the
United States gave the United Nations a list of groups and individuals suspected of funding
terrorists. European governments responded by freezing their assets. In the spring, the
U.S. government provided an updated list with new names. This time, most European
governments ignored the list, according to The Wall Street Journal, citing concern that the
United States was providing insufficient recourse for those who claim they are innocent.

Last fall, all of Europe understood that the attacks of September 11 had been planned on
European soil, that European targets were on the terrorists' lists, and that Europeans by the
hundreds died in the World Trade Center. German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder braved a
no-confidence vote to win approval for German combat troops to be made available for
Afghanistan. Even the French, long openly resentful of American power, expressed
solidarity with us. Today, that support is being replaced by growing popular anger at the
United States. Instead of focusing on the threat of terrorism, Europeans are focusing on
the dangers of American hegemony. Their leaders are free to play to these fears because,
without NATO involvement, the war is not seen as theirs, but ours. Not a single European
election hinges on the success of the war on terrorism. As a consequence, European
elected officials simply don't have a personal stake in the outcome.

Some Americans seem to take a certain delight in Europe's outrage. But the fact is that
this outrage is undermining our ability to carry out the next stages of the war, including,
perhaps, toppling Saddam Hussein. We don't necessarily need Europe's full military support
for a war against Saddam. But we need its diplomatic support now and its assistance in the
aftermath. Without this support, others will have an excuse for not cooperating. This has
already begun to happen. King Abdullah of Jordan recently explained to The Washington
Post why his country, which borders Iraq, could not be used as a staging area for a U.S.
invasion force: "If it seems America wants to hit Baghdad, that's not what Jordanians think,
or the British, [or] the French . . . "

Right Makes Might

It's still not too late to enlist NATO in the fight against terrorism--to handle peacekeeping
duties in an increasingly chaotic Afghanistan, to deepen its involvement in the fight against
the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, and to host the harmonization of judicial
and law-enforcement activities. If there is to be a military operation against Iraq, then
certainly NATO participation should be sought. Involving NATO more directly and deeply
would give European leaders a personal political stake in the war. In particular, bringing
NATO into an expanded peacekeeping mission in Afghanistan would go a long way
toward convincing the Europeans that the United States is serious about stability in
post-war Iraq or other post-conflict situations. That NATO framework can be expanded at
the military level to encompass countries that do not belong to NATO, just as we did in
Bosnia and Kosovo.

In the twilight of World War II we recognized the need for allies. We understood the need
to prevent conflict, not just fight it, and we affirmed the idea that we must banish from the
world what President Harry Truman, addressing the founding of the United Nations, called
"the fundamental philosophy of our enemies, namely, that 'might makes right.'" Truman
went on to say that we must "prove by our acts that right makes might." Since September
11, America has been in a similar position: the most powerful nation in the world, but facing
a deadly enemy. The United States has the opportunity to use the power of the
international institutions it established to triumph over terrorists who threaten not just the
United States, but the world. What a tragedy it will be if we walk away from our own
efforts, and from 60 years of post-World War II experience, to tackle the problem of terror
without using fully the instruments of international law and persuasion that we ourselves
created.

washingtonmonthly.com