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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Rollcast... who wrote (75005)	2/17/2003 8:14:36 PM
From: NickSE	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

Exactly right! Look at North Korea right now. No other country wants to get involved. Everyone wants the U.S. to deal with the problem. IMO, that's going to be Iraq within the next five years maybe less. With all these countries opposing war, they are in effect endorsing a nuclear Iraq. If Iraq had nuclear capability and invaded Kuwait or Saudi Arabia - France and Germany would take a pass. As would, most likely, the rest of the world (including the US).

To: Rollcast... who wrote (75005)	2/17/2003 8:20:51 PM
From: Elsewhere	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 281500

If Iraq had nuclear capability and invaded Kuwait or Saudi Arabia - France and Germany would take a pass. As would, most likely, the rest of the world (including the US). Action = reaction. If one country has managed to acquire WMD neighbors of similar power will strive for them as well. Have a look at Pakistan and India - they are a role model of the diplomatic fireworks we will experience if, for instance, Iraq threatens to invade Iran in the possibly not so distant future. I always wondered why East and West Germany did not declare neutrality and expel all of those Soviet and Nato troops for those 4 decades after WW2. You write it as a joke but it was discussed seriously in Germany in the 50ies. Schroeder's political grandfathers explicitly opposed the rearming of Germany and the founding of the Bundeswehr because they were afraid of fixing the German division forever. A Stalin offer was floating of a reunification at the price of a demilitarized Germany. Adenauer declined then, and he proved to be right.