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Strategies & Market Trends : Booms, Busts, and Recoveries -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: TobagoJack who wrote (28848)	2/18/2003 1:01:08 AM
From: energyplay	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 74559

Starting to speculate about a world post Saddam and Kim Il -Jong. It easier to speculate about a world without Mr. Kim, since China, Russia, South Korea and Japan are all stable and prosperous. If North Korea decides they want to still be "Socialist" like Viet Nam, that's their choice. Or they could follow China's model, or South Korea's. Almost any way, South Korea's and Japan's defense spending will drop, trade will increase. China may get a source of cheap labor. South Korea might benefit also. Rail and Highway connection between China, Russia and South Korea could be built, cutting shipping time of sub-assemblies. I understand that at one time people in the North were told that the people in South Korea were poor and starving. The difference between East and West Germany was about 3:1 to maybe 5:1, depending on how it's measured. The Korean prosperity difference has got to be much larger, at least 8:1, maybe as high as 20:1 Once things stablize, U.S. troops in South Korea and also Okinawa will be reduced sharply.

To: TobagoJack who wrote (28848)	2/18/2003 1:02:40 AM
From: elmatador	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Can you translate this, please. <<If it was easy, there would be no 6 foot 4 Arab dragging around a kidney machine pushed around by an one-eyed mullah.>> I tried to translated every possible way but it didn't work. 1) Can it be a one eyed Mule, with six feet instead of four, dragged around by an Arab since the mule was carrying a kind of machine? No that's too weird. 2) Can it be an Arab the size of basketball player, dragging around a Hemodialysis machine pushed around by a one eyed Mullah? Still too weird. Got to ask you!

To: TobagoJack who wrote (28848)	2/18/2003 4:48:08 AM
From: Maurice Winn	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 74559

Jay, the TweedleDum and TweedleDee of Afghanistan were scuttling around the mountains in remote Afghanistan, with forests and not a lot of roads. Baghdad is quite different. So is Tikrit. So is the rest. If there's nobody to fight, there won't be any fighting. Why would any householder want to fire a rifle or even rotten tomatoes out their window at a bunch of heavily armed Americans? The response would be swift and fatal - probably including everyone in the house. Since the Americans aren't going to be conducting and ethnic cleansing or genocidal attack and everyone knows they won't, there's no reason for fear to drive an opposition attack against them. So much easier just to surrender. There's nothing to be lost by surrender and plenty [everything] to be lost by fighting. Osama and Omar have not been doing much door to door fighting. Wisely. Note that when Omar had a chance to do just that in Afghanistan, they left town in a big hurry and that was where there were plenty of Islamic jihad fighters who were strong believers in their cause. In Saddam's fearful place, there won't be the support for resistance. Mqurice