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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: KonKilo who wrote (75126)	2/18/2003 6:52:52 AM
From: Sig	Respond to of 281500

If nothing is done about Saddam, here is part of the aftermath ( Are you ready for $50/brl oil and a return to gas rationing?) Saddam or IRAQ will have an effective monopoly on oil and can blackmail the world Economic progress in China, Japan, SE Asia, and many other places will come to a screeching halt and reverse. Oil is not the reason But oil alone is enough reason -to unseat Saddam at this time oilcrisis.com Iraq owns an estimated 25% of the worlds oil reserves and it is of the best quality While reserves of other countries are being depleted at a rapid rate- such that we have to consider additional drilling in Alaska or off the coasts, Iraqs production at this time is minimal and it will take several years to rebuild to high levels. Each year the Iraq reserve share increases from 25% In 5 years, 10, 20 ... Iraqi share of oil reserves could increase to 30%, to 35%, to 40% of the total And the value per barrel will go higher to $30, to $40 etc If Saddam is left in power, his sons and and murderous chiefs high on his Totem Pole will inherit the country and the wealth These facts would explain the following: The Administrations desire and funding provisions to develop hydrogen or electric powered vehicles The ongoing studies to determine which untapped reserves we can safely develop with minimal disturbance to the environment and obtain the publics opinion and support( or lack of) for the same The so-far unstoppable efforts by Saddam to achlieve WMD's and nuclear devices And if he (or a successor) gets LR WMD's he will be King of the Hill, a dictator holding the world hostage to oil prices - which he can set as high as desired. ( Pay me or lose Paris or Berlin or.xxxxx. even if you nuke me later ) The other nations could retaliate by shutting off food and medical supplies but that has been tried and failed because it caused ruinous effects on innocent civilians NOW IS THE TIME- 12 years delay has been futile and unproductive All of the UN members are in concert, Saddam is in violation of 1441, disregarding rules and demands of all those Nations. Rules which mostly concern treating citizens in a humane manner. And not to support terrorist activities. The present UN disagreement among a minority of members involves what to do about the violations and when The world has enough problems . we do not need a parallel to the N Korea situation to debate and defuse. JMHO Sig